Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日720-759 21.9%
680-719 21.6%
640-679 14.3%
760-799 11.1%
$822,246 Vol.
$822,246 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
3%
580-599
6%
600-639
11%
640-679
14%
680-719
22%
720-759
22%
760-799
11%
800-839
9%
840-879
4%
880-919
4%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
<1%
1080-1119
<1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
720-759 21.9%
680-719 21.6%
640-679 14.3%
760-799 11.1%
$822,246 Vol.
$822,246 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
3%
580-599
6%
600-639
11%
640-679
14%
680-719
22%
720-759
22%
760-799
11%
800-839
9%
840-879
4%
880-919
4%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
<1%
1080-1119
<1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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