Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the 15-16 million range at 25% implied probability for "The Drama's" domestic opening weekend, driven by solid presales tracking 13-18 million, Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power from franchise hits like Dune and Spider-Man, and a Certified Fresh 82% Tomatometer score praising director Kristoffer Borgli's provocative rom-com style. However, closely matched odds reflect uncertainty from backlash over a controversial plot twist involving a near-mass shooting revelation, which drew Columbine family criticism, plus stiff Easter holiday competition from the juggernaut Super Mario Galaxy Movie eyeing 170 million-plus. Key swing factors include final walkups, holiday multipliers, and audience word-of-mouth ahead of Friday's theatrical launch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
15-16m 25%
16-17m 21%
13-14m 18%
14-15m 18%
$12,257 Vol.
$12,257 Vol.
2026/04/06
<10m
5%
10-11m
7%
11-12m
4%
12-13m
14%
13-14m
18%
14-15m
18%
15-16m
25%
16-17m
21%
>17m
16%
15-16m 25%
16-17m 21%
13-14m 18%
14-15m 18%
$12,257 Vol.
$12,257 Vol.
2026/04/06
<10m
$355 Vol.
5%
10-11m
$379 Vol.
7%
11-12m
$283 Vol.
4%
12-13m
$319 Vol.
14%
13-14m
$269 Vol.
18%
14-15m
$292 Vol.
18%
15-16m
$907 Vol.
25%
16-17m
$3,954 Vol.
21%
>17m
$5,499 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the 15-16 million range at 25% implied probability for "The Drama's" domestic opening weekend, driven by solid presales tracking 13-18 million, Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power from franchise hits like Dune and Spider-Man, and a Certified Fresh 82% Tomatometer score praising director Kristoffer Borgli's provocative rom-com style. However, closely matched odds reflect uncertainty from backlash over a controversial plot twist involving a near-mass shooting revelation, which drew Columbine family criticism, plus stiff Easter holiday competition from the juggernaut Super Mario Galaxy Movie eyeing 170 million-plus. Key swing factors include final walkups, holiday multipliers, and audience word-of-mouth ahead of Friday's theatrical launch.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
音量
$12,257終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the 15-16 million range at 25% implied probability for "The Drama's" domestic opening weekend, driven by solid presales tracking 13-18 million, Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power from franchise hits like Dune and Spider-Man, and a Certified Fresh 82% Tomatometer score praising director Kristoffer Borgli's provocative rom-com style. However, closely matched odds reflect uncertainty from backlash over a controversial plot twist involving a near-mass shooting revelation, which drew Columbine family criticism, plus stiff Easter holiday competition from the juggernaut Super Mario Galaxy Movie eyeing 170 million-plus. Key swing factors include final walkups, holiday multipliers, and audience word-of-mouth ahead of Friday's theatrical launch.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$12,257終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the 15-16 million range at 25% implied probability for "The Drama's" domestic opening weekend, driven by solid presales tracking 13-18 million, Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power from franchise hits like Dune and Spider-Man, and a Certified Fresh 82% Tomatometer score praising director Kristoffer Borgli's provocative rom-com style. However, closely matched odds reflect uncertainty from backlash over a controversial plot twist involving a near-mass shooting revelation, which drew Columbine family criticism, plus stiff Easter holiday competition from the juggernaut Super Mario Galaxy Movie eyeing 170 million-plus. Key swing factors include final walkups, holiday multipliers, and audience word-of-mouth ahead of Friday's theatrical launch.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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