President Donald Trump's public communications via Truth Social posts and speeches from March 29 to April 5 shape this prediction market, reflecting his frequent commentary on foreign policy, healthcare, and domestic priorities. On March 29, Trump posted criticizing the Affordable Care Act as unsustainable and urging direct payments to individuals, while addressing Iran tensions by warning of severe retaliation if oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted—echoing his March 27 Future Investment Initiative remarks touting U.S.-Israeli actions decimating Iran. Prior cabinet discussions and farmer endorsements underscore agricultural and economic themes like ethanol. With low weekend activity noted amid golf outings, traders weigh upcoming White House press rotations, potential gaggles, and unscheduled posts against historical patterns of rapid topic shifts amid geopolitical escalations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$491,865 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
2%
Kaitlan Collins
3%
Eat our Lunch
4%
Ethanol
4%
Embargo
7%
Finish the Job
2%
Khamenei
2%
Chuck Norris
11%
$491,865 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$20,945 Vol.
2%
Kaitlan Collins
$6,006 Vol.
3%
Eat our Lunch
$3,289 Vol.
4%
Ethanol
$12,382 Vol.
4%
Embargo
$8,854 Vol.
7%
Finish the Job
$4,910 Vol.
2%
Khamenei
$57,099 Vol.
2%
Chuck Norris
$11,856 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Donald Trump's public communications via Truth Social posts and speeches from March 29 to April 5 shape this prediction market, reflecting his frequent commentary on foreign policy, healthcare, and domestic priorities. On March 29, Trump posted criticizing the Affordable Care Act as unsustainable and urging direct payments to individuals, while addressing Iran tensions by warning of severe retaliation if oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted—echoing his March 27 Future Investment Initiative remarks touting U.S.-Israeli actions decimating Iran. Prior cabinet discussions and farmer endorsements underscore agricultural and economic themes like ethanol. With low weekend activity noted amid golf outings, traders weigh upcoming White House press rotations, potential gaggles, and unscheduled posts against historical patterns of rapid topic shifts amid geopolitical escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$491,865終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Donald Trump's public communications via Truth Social posts and speeches from March 29 to April 5 shape this prediction market, reflecting his frequent commentary on foreign policy, healthcare, and domestic priorities. On March 29, Trump posted criticizing the Affordable Care Act as unsustainable and urging direct payments to individuals, while addressing Iran tensions by warning of severe retaliation if oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted—echoing his March 27 Future Investment Initiative remarks touting U.S.-Israeli actions decimating Iran. Prior cabinet discussions and farmer endorsements underscore agricultural and economic themes like ethanol. With low weekend activity noted amid golf outings, traders weigh upcoming White House press rotations, potential gaggles, and unscheduled posts against historical patterns of rapid topic shifts amid geopolitical escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$491,865終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
President Donald Trump's public communications via Truth Social posts and speeches from March 29 to April 5 shape this prediction market, reflecting his frequent commentary on foreign policy, healthcare, and domestic priorities. On March 29, Trump posted criticizing the Affordable Care Act as unsustainable and urging direct payments to individuals, while addressing Iran tensions by warning of severe retaliation if oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted—echoing his March 27 Future Investment Initiative remarks touting U.S.-Israeli actions decimating Iran. Prior cabinet discussions and farmer endorsements underscore agricultural and economic themes like ethanol. With low weekend activity noted amid golf outings, traders weigh upcoming White House press rotations, potential gaggles, and unscheduled posts against historical patterns of rapid topic shifts amid geopolitical escalations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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