Amid the US-Israel-Iran war escalating since late February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and missile facilities, Iran's direct missile attack on a US base in Saudi Arabia on March 27—wounding 12 troops—underscores its retaliatory focus on American Gulf assets despite severe degradation of its air defenses and arms production. Yesterday's Houthi missile barrage on Israel, intercepted but marking proxy involvement, heightens fears of broader regional strikes, including potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions or energy targets. Israeli counterstrikes hit Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27, with Trump delaying a US strike deadline to April 6. Traders weigh Iran's depleted capabilities against vowed escalations before the March 31 cutoff, amid diplomatic ceasefire pushes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$457,834 Vol.
ディモナ（シモン・ペレス ネゲヴ原子力研究センター）
2%
ブルジュ・ハリファ
4%
ガワール油田
8%
サファニヤ油田
8%
アブカイク石油処理施設
9%
アルズール製油所
9%
Leviathan Field
7%
Khurais Field
12%
ラス・タヌラ
5%
East–West Pipeline
5%
ハブシャン油田／処理コンプレックス
10%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
18%
$457,834 Vol.
ディモナ（シモン・ペレス ネゲヴ原子力研究センター）
$253,586 Vol.
2%
ブルジュ・ハリファ
$1,339 Vol.
4%
ガワール油田
$30,743 Vol.
8%
サファニヤ油田
$39,887 Vol.
8%
アブカイク石油処理施設
$39,554 Vol.
9%
アルズール製油所
$74,762 Vol.
9%
Leviathan Field
$1,106 Vol.
7%
Khurais Field
$4,997 Vol.
12%
ラス・タヌラ
$4,421 Vol.
5%
East–West Pipeline
$1,506 Vol.
5%
ハブシャン油田／処理コンプレックス
$946 Vol.
10%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
$4,985 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid the US-Israel-Iran war escalating since late February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and missile facilities, Iran's direct missile attack on a US base in Saudi Arabia on March 27—wounding 12 troops—underscores its retaliatory focus on American Gulf assets despite severe degradation of its air defenses and arms production. Yesterday's Houthi missile barrage on Israel, intercepted but marking proxy involvement, heightens fears of broader regional strikes, including potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions or energy targets. Israeli counterstrikes hit Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27, with Trump delaying a US strike deadline to April 6. Traders weigh Iran's depleted capabilities against vowed escalations before the March 31 cutoff, amid diplomatic ceasefire pushes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
マーケット開始日： Feb 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
音量
$457,834マーケット開始日
Feb 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed city/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed pipeline/facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid the US-Israel-Iran war escalating since late February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and missile facilities, Iran's direct missile attack on a US base in Saudi Arabia on March 27—wounding 12 troops—underscores its retaliatory focus on American Gulf assets despite severe degradation of its air defenses and arms production. Yesterday's Houthi missile barrage on Israel, intercepted but marking proxy involvement, heightens fears of broader regional strikes, including potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions or energy targets. Israeli counterstrikes hit Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27, with Trump delaying a US strike deadline to April 6. Traders weigh Iran's depleted capabilities against vowed escalations before the March 31 cutoff, amid diplomatic ceasefire pushes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
音量
$457,834マーケット開始日
Feb 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the US-Israel-Iran war escalating since late February 2026 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and missile facilities, Iran's direct missile attack on a US base in Saudi Arabia on March 27—wounding 12 troops—underscores its retaliatory focus on American Gulf assets despite severe degradation of its air defenses and arms production. Yesterday's Houthi missile barrage on Israel, intercepted but marking proxy involvement, heightens fears of broader regional strikes, including potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions or energy targets. Israeli counterstrikes hit Tehran and Isfahan as recently as March 27, with Trump delaying a US strike deadline to April 6. Traders weigh Iran's depleted capabilities against vowed escalations before the March 31 cutoff, amid diplomatic ceasefire pushes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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