Republican nominee John Cioffi holds a commanding lead over Democrat Ruth Whitaker in post-primary polls, fueling trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP gubernatorial win in Vermont despite the state's Democratic lean. Incumbent Gov. Phil Scott, with high approval ratings, retired from a fourth term and endorsed Cioffi after his August 13 primary victory. Recent CVPS/Vermont Public Radio (47%-29%) and VTDigger surveys confirm Cioffi's double-digit edge, with undecided voters at around 24%. Vermont's history of split-ticket voting—electing Republican governors alongside a Democratic legislature for three cycles—bolsters the frontrunner's path. The November 5 general election looms without major shifts in polling averages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
83%
民主党
19%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$2,238 Vol.
83%
民主党
$5,063 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee John Cioffi holds a commanding lead over Democrat Ruth Whitaker in post-primary polls, fueling trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP gubernatorial win in Vermont despite the state's Democratic lean. Incumbent Gov. Phil Scott, with high approval ratings, retired from a fourth term and endorsed Cioffi after his August 13 primary victory. Recent CVPS/Vermont Public Radio (47%-29%) and VTDigger surveys confirm Cioffi's double-digit edge, with undecided voters at around 24%. Vermont's history of split-ticket voting—electing Republican governors alongside a Democratic legislature for three cycles—bolsters the frontrunner's path. The November 5 general election looms without major shifts in polling averages.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$7,301終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee John Cioffi holds a commanding lead over Democrat Ruth Whitaker in post-primary polls, fueling trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP gubernatorial win in Vermont despite the state's Democratic lean. Incumbent Gov. Phil Scott, with high approval ratings, retired from a fourth term and endorsed Cioffi after his August 13 primary victory. Recent CVPS/Vermont Public Radio (47%-29%) and VTDigger surveys confirm Cioffi's double-digit edge, with undecided voters at around 24%. Vermont's history of split-ticket voting—electing Republican governors alongside a Democratic legislature for three cycles—bolsters the frontrunner's path. The November 5 general election looms without major shifts in polling averages.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$7,301終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee John Cioffi holds a commanding lead over Democrat Ruth Whitaker in post-primary polls, fueling trader consensus at 82.5% for a GOP gubernatorial win in Vermont despite the state's Democratic lean. Incumbent Gov. Phil Scott, with high approval ratings, retired from a fourth term and endorsed Cioffi after his August 13 primary victory. Recent CVPS/Vermont Public Radio (47%-29%) and VTDigger surveys confirm Cioffi's double-digit edge, with undecided voters at around 24%. Vermont's history of split-ticket voting—electing Republican governors alongside a Democratic legislature for three cycles—bolsters the frontrunner's path. The November 5 general election looms without major shifts in polling averages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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