Amid ongoing US-Israel airstrikes on Iran following the collapse of February indirect nuclear talks in Geneva and Oman, President Trump's administration sent a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan last week, demanding Iran downblend enriched uranium stocks, halt accumulation, and enable IAEA verification in exchange for sanctions relief. Trump claims US envoys, potentially including VP Vance and special representative Witkoff, are negotiating with senior Iranian officials toward a high-level meeting possibly in Islamabad this week, though Tehran denies direct diplomacy while reviewing the plan. Secretary Rubio updated G7 allies yesterday on de-escalation efforts, but conflicting signals and intensified strikes underscore uncertainty ahead of any breakthrough.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$972,471 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
8%
4月10日
19%
4月30日
45%
6月30日
79%
$972,471 Vol.
3月31日
$617,237 Vol.
8%
4月10日
$2,532 Vol.
19%
4月30日
$90,452 Vol.
45%
6月30日
$16,659 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Israel airstrikes on Iran following the collapse of February indirect nuclear talks in Geneva and Oman, President Trump's administration sent a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan last week, demanding Iran downblend enriched uranium stocks, halt accumulation, and enable IAEA verification in exchange for sanctions relief. Trump claims US envoys, potentially including VP Vance and special representative Witkoff, are negotiating with senior Iranian officials toward a high-level meeting possibly in Islamabad this week, though Tehran denies direct diplomacy while reviewing the plan. Secretary Rubio updated G7 allies yesterday on de-escalation efforts, but conflicting signals and intensified strikes underscore uncertainty ahead of any breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
音量
$972,471終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US-Israel airstrikes on Iran following the collapse of February indirect nuclear talks in Geneva and Oman, President Trump's administration sent a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan last week, demanding Iran downblend enriched uranium stocks, halt accumulation, and enable IAEA verification in exchange for sanctions relief. Trump claims US envoys, potentially including VP Vance and special representative Witkoff, are negotiating with senior Iranian officials toward a high-level meeting possibly in Islamabad this week, though Tehran denies direct diplomacy while reviewing the plan. Secretary Rubio updated G7 allies yesterday on de-escalation efforts, but conflicting signals and intensified strikes underscore uncertainty ahead of any breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$972,471終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing US-Israel airstrikes on Iran following the collapse of February indirect nuclear talks in Geneva and Oman, President Trump's administration sent a 15-point ceasefire proposal via Pakistan last week, demanding Iran downblend enriched uranium stocks, halt accumulation, and enable IAEA verification in exchange for sanctions relief. Trump claims US envoys, potentially including VP Vance and special representative Witkoff, are negotiating with senior Iranian officials toward a high-level meeting possibly in Islamabad this week, though Tehran denies direct diplomacy while reviewing the plan. Secretary Rubio updated G7 allies yesterday on de-escalation efforts, but conflicting signals and intensified strikes underscore uncertainty ahead of any breakthrough.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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