Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israel-Iran conflict on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israeli military sites—their first direct strikes since the war began last month—prompting Israeli interceptions and warnings of retaliation. This follows US airstrikes on Houthi targets earlier in March, authorized as leverage against Tehran amid degraded proxy capabilities from prior operations like Rough Rider. With 3,500 additional US troops deployed regionally, B-2 bomber sorties ongoing, and Houthi threats of further intervention backed by Iranian rhetoric, tensions risk Red Sea disruptions or broader escalation. Traders eye diplomatic summits involving Saudi Arabia and Turkey, plus any Houthi maritime attacks, as pivotal for potential renewed US military action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$380,405 Vol.
2026/03/31
3月31日
1%
$380,405 Vol.
3月31日
$280,610 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israel-Iran conflict on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israeli military sites—their first direct strikes since the war began last month—prompting Israeli interceptions and warnings of retaliation. This follows US airstrikes on Houthi targets earlier in March, authorized as leverage against Tehran amid degraded proxy capabilities from prior operations like Rough Rider. With 3,500 additional US troops deployed regionally, B-2 bomber sorties ongoing, and Houthi threats of further intervention backed by Iranian rhetoric, tensions risk Red Sea disruptions or broader escalation. Traders eye diplomatic summits involving Saudi Arabia and Turkey, plus any Houthi maritime attacks, as pivotal for potential renewed US military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$380,405終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israel-Iran conflict on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israeli military sites—their first direct strikes since the war began last month—prompting Israeli interceptions and warnings of retaliation. This follows US airstrikes on Houthi targets earlier in March, authorized as leverage against Tehran amid degraded proxy capabilities from prior operations like Rough Rider. With 3,500 additional US troops deployed regionally, B-2 bomber sorties ongoing, and Houthi threats of further intervention backed by Iranian rhetoric, tensions risk Red Sea disruptions or broader escalation. Traders eye diplomatic summits involving Saudi Arabia and Turkey, plus any Houthi maritime attacks, as pivotal for potential renewed US military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$380,405終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis escalated the US-Israel-Iran conflict on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israeli military sites—their first direct strikes since the war began last month—prompting Israeli interceptions and warnings of retaliation. This follows US airstrikes on Houthi targets earlier in March, authorized as leverage against Tehran amid degraded proxy capabilities from prior operations like Rough Rider. With 3,500 additional US troops deployed regionally, B-2 bomber sorties ongoing, and Houthi threats of further intervention backed by Iranian rhetoric, tensions risk Red Sea disruptions or broader escalation. Traders eye diplomatic summits involving Saudi Arabia and Turkey, plus any Houthi maritime attacks, as pivotal for potential renewed US military action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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