**Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attack since entering the ongoing 2026 Iran war—prompting continued US Central Command airstrikes on Houthi targets, including drone sites and concentrations in western Yemen as recently as March 29.** US forces have targeted radar platforms and launch sites threatening Red Sea shipping via Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney, aiming to secure vital trade lanes amid over 100 Houthi attacks on allies since October 2023. Analysts highlight risks of oil prices surging to $140 per barrel from further Red Sea disruptions or strikes on Saudi energy sites, though direct Saudi involvement remains unlikely absent broader escalation. President Trump's March 31 Truth Social post urging allies like the UK to secure chokepoints independently signals potential shifts in US military posture, with traders monitoring Houthi threats and diplomatic signals ahead of market deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$374,684 Vol.
2026/03/31
3月31日
2%
$374,684 Vol.
3月31日
$275,871 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attack since entering the ongoing 2026 Iran war—prompting continued US Central Command airstrikes on Houthi targets, including drone sites and concentrations in western Yemen as recently as March 29.** US forces have targeted radar platforms and launch sites threatening Red Sea shipping via Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney, aiming to secure vital trade lanes amid over 100 Houthi attacks on allies since October 2023. Analysts highlight risks of oil prices surging to $140 per barrel from further Red Sea disruptions or strikes on Saudi energy sites, though direct Saudi involvement remains unlikely absent broader escalation. President Trump's March 31 Truth Social post urging allies like the UK to secure chokepoints independently signals potential shifts in US military posture, with traders monitoring Houthi threats and diplomatic signals ahead of market deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$374,684終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attack since entering the ongoing 2026 Iran war—prompting continued US Central Command airstrikes on Houthi targets, including drone sites and concentrations in western Yemen as recently as March 29.** US forces have targeted radar platforms and launch sites threatening Red Sea shipping via Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney, aiming to secure vital trade lanes amid over 100 Houthi attacks on allies since October 2023. Analysts highlight risks of oil prices surging to $140 per barrel from further Red Sea disruptions or strikes on Saudi energy sites, though direct Saudi involvement remains unlikely absent broader escalation. President Trump's March 31 Truth Social post urging allies like the UK to secure chokepoints independently signals potential shifts in US military posture, with traders monitoring Houthi threats and diplomatic signals ahead of market deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$374,684終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching ballistic missiles at Israel—their first such attack since entering the ongoing 2026 Iran war—prompting continued US Central Command airstrikes on Houthi targets, including drone sites and concentrations in western Yemen as recently as March 29.** US forces have targeted radar platforms and launch sites threatening Red Sea shipping via Tomahawk missiles from USS Carney, aiming to secure vital trade lanes amid over 100 Houthi attacks on allies since October 2023. Analysts highlight risks of oil prices surging to $140 per barrel from further Red Sea disruptions or strikes on Saudi energy sites, though direct Saudi involvement remains unlikely absent broader escalation. President Trump's March 31 Truth Social post urging allies like the UK to secure chokepoints independently signals potential shifts in US military posture, with traders monitoring Houthi threats and diplomatic signals ahead of market deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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