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選挙·米国選挙

テキサス州共和党上院予備選第1ラウンドの投票率

Market icon
選挙·米国選挙

テキサス州共和党上院予備選第1ラウンドの投票率

200万〜220万 100.0%

200万人未満 <1%

220万〜240万 <1%

240万～260万 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

200万〜220万 100.0%

200万人未満 <1%

220万〜240万 <1%

240万～260万 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

200万人未満

$0 Vol.

いいえ

200万〜220万

$0 Vol.

はい

220万〜240万

$0 Vol.

いいえ

240万～260万

$0 Vol.

いいえ

260万〜280万

$0 Vol.

いいえ

280万以上

$0 Vol.

いいえ

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「テキサス州共和党上院予備選第1ラウンドの投票率」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「200万〜220万」で100%、次いで「200万人未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「テキサス州共和党上院予備選第1ラウンドの投票率」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 6, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「テキサス州共和党上院予備選第1ラウンドの投票率」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テキサス州共和党上院予備選第1ラウンドの投票率」の現在のフロントランナーは「200万〜220万」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「200万人未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テキサス州共和党上院予備選第1ラウンドの投票率」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。