Pete Hegseth's nomination for Secretary of Defense cleared a key step in the Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on January 14, where he addressed allegations of past misconduct and drinking but secured backing from Chairman Roger Wicker and other Republicans, boosting trader consensus to 92.5% that he will not be out by April 30. President Trump's unwavering support and lack of disqualifying new revelations have minimized withdrawal risks, with a full Senate floor vote expected in late January or early February—well ahead of the deadline. Historical patterns show most cabinet nominees confirmed despite controversy, though unexpected bipartisan opposition or fresh scandals could alter this trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$20,141 Vol.
$20,141 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$20,141 Vol.
$20,141 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
音量
$20,141終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,141終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pete Hegseth's nomination for Secretary of Defense cleared a key step in the Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on January 14, where he addressed allegations of past misconduct and drinking but secured backing from Chairman Roger Wicker and other Republicans, boosting trader consensus to 92.5% that he will not be out by April 30. President Trump's unwavering support and lack of disqualifying new revelations have minimized withdrawal risks, with a full Senate floor vote expected in late January or early February—well ahead of the deadline. Historical patterns show most cabinet nominees confirmed despite controversy, though unexpected bipartisan opposition or fresh scandals could alter this trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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