Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,210 Vol.
$22,210 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダン・ミューザー（共和党）
96%
レイチェル・ウォレス（民主党）
4%
$22,210 Vol.
$22,210 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダン・ミューザー（共和党）
$14,388 Vol.
96%
レイチェル・ウォレス（民主党）
$7,822 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$22,210終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,210終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Trump’s double-digit margins in recent presidential elections and the seat’s Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Meuser, serving since 2019 and re-elected with over 70 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Democrat Rachel Wallace, a Pottsville native with federal government experience, also ran unopposed but trails significantly in overall fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with historical voting patterns and limited competitive indicators. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extreme national Democratic wave exceeding historical norms in this R+19 district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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