Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds commanding leads in the latest polls for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with RMG Research showing him ahead 48%-42% in late October and other surveys confirming mid-single-digit advantages amid the district's R+5 partisan lean. Trader consensus at 71.5% for the GOP reflects Fitzpatrick's strong incumbency edge, moderate appeal to suburban independents in Bucks County, and superior fundraising, while Democrat Derek Kramer struggles with name recognition as a first-time candidate. No major shifts have emerged in the past week, with early voting underway and Election Day on November 5 poised to test turnout in this suburban swing district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和党
64%
民主党
36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
64%
民主党
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds commanding leads in the latest polls for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with RMG Research showing him ahead 48%-42% in late October and other surveys confirming mid-single-digit advantages amid the district's R+5 partisan lean. Trader consensus at 71.5% for the GOP reflects Fitzpatrick's strong incumbency edge, moderate appeal to suburban independents in Bucks County, and superior fundraising, while Democrat Derek Kramer struggles with name recognition as a first-time candidate. No major shifts have emerged in the past week, with early voting underway and Election Day on November 5 poised to test turnout in this suburban swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds commanding leads in the latest polls for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with RMG Research showing him ahead 48%-42% in late October and other surveys confirming mid-single-digit advantages amid the district's R+5 partisan lean. Trader consensus at 71.5% for the GOP reflects Fitzpatrick's strong incumbency edge, moderate appeal to suburban independents in Bucks County, and superior fundraising, while Democrat Derek Kramer struggles with name recognition as a first-time candidate. No major shifts have emerged in the past week, with early voting underway and Election Day on November 5 poised to test turnout in this suburban swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds commanding leads in the latest polls for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with RMG Research showing him ahead 48%-42% in late October and other surveys confirming mid-single-digit advantages amid the district's R+5 partisan lean. Trader consensus at 71.5% for the GOP reflects Fitzpatrick's strong incumbency edge, moderate appeal to suburban independents in Bucks County, and superior fundraising, while Democrat Derek Kramer struggles with name recognition as a first-time candidate. No major shifts have emerged in the past week, with early voting underway and Election Day on November 5 poised to test turnout in this suburban swing district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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