Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests shapes trader expectations for this open Senate seat. Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to join the Trump administration left the Class II seat vacant, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of interim Senator Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible to seek the full term. With the June primary approaching, leading Republican candidates such as Kevin Hern hold strong polling leads in a field that faces minimal organized Democratic opposition. The state's partisan voting index and historical margins reinforce the view that the eventual GOP nominee will prevail in November, though a late surge by a well-funded Democratic challenger or an unexpected primary upset could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,602 Vol.
$13,602 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$13,602 Vol.
$13,602 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,244 Vol.
93%
民主党
$5,358 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests shapes trader expectations for this open Senate seat. Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to join the Trump administration left the Class II seat vacant, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of interim Senator Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible to seek the full term. With the June primary approaching, leading Republican candidates such as Kevin Hern hold strong polling leads in a field that faces minimal organized Democratic opposition. The state's partisan voting index and historical margins reinforce the view that the eventual GOP nominee will prevail in November, though a late surge by a well-funded Democratic challenger or an unexpected primary upset could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$13,602終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests shapes trader expectations for this open Senate seat. Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to join the Trump administration left the Class II seat vacant, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of interim Senator Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible to seek the full term. With the June primary approaching, leading Republican candidates such as Kevin Hern hold strong polling leads in a field that faces minimal organized Democratic opposition. The state's partisan voting index and historical margins reinforce the view that the eventual GOP nominee will prevail in November, though a late surge by a well-funded Democratic challenger or an unexpected primary upset could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$13,602終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests shapes trader expectations for this open Senate seat. Markwayne Mullin's March resignation to join the Trump administration left the Class II seat vacant, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of interim Senator Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible to seek the full term. With the June primary approaching, leading Republican candidates such as Kevin Hern hold strong polling leads in a field that faces minimal organized Democratic opposition. The state's partisan voting index and historical margins reinforce the view that the eventual GOP nominee will prevail in November, though a late surge by a well-funded Democratic challenger or an unexpected primary upset could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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