Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race following Governor Tim Walz's January withdrawal has solidified Democratic dominance, with trader consensus pricing a Democratic win at 92.5% amid her double-digit leads in February polls like Emerson College (51-53% vs. top Republicans) and SurveyUSA (14-22 point margins over a fragmented GOP field including House Speaker Lisa Demuth and Mike Lindell). Klobuchar's popularity from her 2024 Senate victory by 16 points, party unity via caucus straw poll wins, and Minnesota's lack of a Republican governor since 2002 underpin this positioning, reinforced by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report. August 11 primaries loom, but shifts would require a GOP surge, Klobuchar scandal, or national Republican wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
民主党
93%

共和党
8%

民主党
93%

共和党
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Senator Amy Klobuchar's entry into the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race following Governor Tim Walz's January withdrawal has solidified Democratic dominance, with trader consensus pricing a Democratic win at 92.5% amid her double-digit leads in February polls like Emerson College (51-53% vs. top Republicans) and SurveyUSA (14-22 point margins over a fragmented GOP field including House Speaker Lisa Demuth and Mike Lindell). Klobuchar's popularity from her 2024 Senate victory by 16 points, party unity via caucus straw poll wins, and Minnesota's lack of a Republican governor since 2002 underpin this positioning, reinforced by Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report. August 11 primaries loom, but shifts would require a GOP surge, Klobuchar scandal, or national Republican wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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