Georgia's 2026 open gubernatorial race, with incumbent Republican Brian Kemp term-limited, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 57.5% implied probability over Republicans at 43%. Recent polls, including a September University of Georgia survey showing generic Democrat leading 48-44%, reflect the state's swing status after narrow 2024 presidential margins. Democrat frontrunners like state Rep. Todd Jones gain traction amid strong early fundraising, while the Republican primary remains fragmented among Attorney General Chris Carr, Lt. Gov. Burt Jones, and others, diluting unified opposition. Stacey Abrams' October decision against running bolsters lesser-known Democrat viability without rematch fatigue, though upcoming January 2026 primaries could shift dynamics as candidate fields solidify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$28,429 Vol.
$28,429 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
57%
共和党
43%
$28,429 Vol.
$28,429 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$17,497 Vol.
57%
共和党
$10,932 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$28,429終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$28,429終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 2026 open gubernatorial race, with incumbent Republican Brian Kemp term-limited, drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 57.5% implied probability over Republicans at 43%. Recent polls, including a September University of Georgia survey showing generic Democrat leading 48-44%, reflect the state's swing status after narrow 2024 presidential margins. Democrat frontrunners like state Rep. Todd Jones gain traction amid strong early fundraising, while the Republican primary remains fragmented among Attorney General Chris Carr, Lt. Gov. Burt Jones, and others, diluting unified opposition. Stacey Abrams' October decision against running bolsters lesser-known Democrat viability without rematch fatigue, though upcoming January 2026 primaries could shift dynamics as candidate fields solidify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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