Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination with a commanding 47.8% in the August 18 primary, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and broad party support across key demographics. James Fishback, a political newcomer and investment firm founder positioning himself as a populist outsider critical of establishment figures, finished third with 10.5% of the vote. Late polls consistently placed him in single digits to low double digits amid limited name recognition outside younger voters, weak fundraising, and exclusion from official party debates over controversial statements. His appeal remained concentrated among niche online and age-based coalitions that did not expand statewide. Results aligned closely with polling aggregates showing no viable path to a higher share, leaving little uncertainty for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フィッシュバック 10〜15％ 100.0%
フィッシュバック <10％ <1%
フィッシュバック 15～20％ <1%
フィッシュバック 20～25％ <1%
$387,581 Vol.
$387,581 Vol.
2026/08/18
フィッシュバック <10％
いいえ
フィッシュバック 10〜15％
はい
フィッシュバック 15～20％
いいえ
フィッシュバック 20～25％
いいえ
フィッシュバック 25〜30％
いいえ
フィッシュバック30％以上
いいえ
フィッシュバック 10〜15％ 100.0%
フィッシュバック <10％ <1%
フィッシュバック 15～20％ <1%
フィッシュバック 20～25％ <1%
$387,581 Vol.
$387,581 Vol.
2026/08/18
フィッシュバック <10％
$280,544 Vol.
いいえ
フィッシュバック 10〜15％
$36,006 Vol.
はい
フィッシュバック 15～20％
$13,551 Vol.
いいえ
フィッシュバック 20～25％
$17,597 Vol.
いいえ
フィッシュバック 25〜30％
$10,829 Vol.
いいえ
フィッシュバック30％以上
$29,054 Vol.
いいえ
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination with a commanding 47.8% in the August 18 primary, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and broad party support across key demographics. James Fishback, a political newcomer and investment firm founder positioning himself as a populist outsider critical of establishment figures, finished third with 10.5% of the vote. Late polls consistently placed him in single digits to low double digits amid limited name recognition outside younger voters, weak fundraising, and exclusion from official party debates over controversial statements. His appeal remained concentrated among niche online and age-based coalitions that did not expand statewide. Results aligned closely with polling aggregates showing no viable path to a higher share, leaving little uncertainty for traders.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$387,581終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination with a commanding 47.8% in the August 18 primary, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and broad party support across key demographics. James Fishback, a political newcomer and investment firm founder positioning himself as a populist outsider critical of establishment figures, finished third with 10.5% of the vote. Late polls consistently placed him in single digits to low double digits amid limited name recognition outside younger voters, weak fundraising, and exclusion from official party debates over controversial statements. His appeal remained concentrated among niche online and age-based coalitions that did not expand statewide. Results aligned closely with polling aggregates showing no viable path to a higher share, leaving little uncertainty for traders.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$387,581終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination with a commanding 47.8% in the August 18 primary, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and broad party support across key demographics. James Fishback, a political newcomer and investment firm founder positioning himself as a populist outsider critical of establishment figures, finished third with 10.5% of the vote. Late polls consistently placed him in single digits to low double digits amid limited name recognition outside younger voters, weak fundraising, and exclusion from official party debates over controversial statements. His appeal remained concentrated among niche online and age-based coalitions that did not expand statewide. Results aligned closely with polling aggregates showing no viable path to a higher share, leaving little uncertainty for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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