Several open-seat races in politically competitive states top trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest, reflecting term limits for incumbents in Georgia, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio alongside historical narrow margins in presidential voting. These states feature developing candidate fields, primary contests, and vulnerability to national economic or turnout shifts that could produce tight general-election results. Texas appears in early positioning due to its size and potential demographic dynamics despite stronger baseline Republican support, while Kansas and Nevada draw attention for similar structural reasons. Emerging polls, nominee quality, and any late-cycle national environment changes could consolidate support around one or two outcomes as filing deadlines and primaries clarify the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Texas 14.4%
Iowa 11.6%
Wisconsin 11.2%
Georgia 10.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Texas
14%
Iowa
12%
Wisconsin
11%
Georgia
10%
オハイオ州
10%
Kansas
8%
Nevada
6%
フロリダ
5%
ミシガン州
4%
Oregon
4%
Alaska
4%
Arizona
3%
コロラド州
2%
New Hampshire
2%
New Mexico
1%
Maine
1%
Vermont
1%
Minnesota
1%
Texas 14.4%
Iowa 11.6%
Wisconsin 11.2%
Georgia 10.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Texas
$1,564 Vol.
14%
Iowa
$1,475 Vol.
12%
Wisconsin
$380 Vol.
11%
Georgia
$222 Vol.
10%
オハイオ州
$389 Vol.
10%
Kansas
$1,057 Vol.
8%
Nevada
$1,986 Vol.
6%
フロリダ
$193 Vol.
5%
ミシガン州
$324 Vol.
4%
Oregon
$314 Vol.
4%
Alaska
$201 Vol.
4%
Arizona
$259 Vol.
3%
コロラド州
$238 Vol.
2%
New Hampshire
$250 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$189 Vol.
1%
Maine
$350 Vol.
1%
Vermont
$171 Vol.
1%
Minnesota
$209 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat races in politically competitive states top trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest, reflecting term limits for incumbents in Georgia, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio alongside historical narrow margins in presidential voting. These states feature developing candidate fields, primary contests, and vulnerability to national economic or turnout shifts that could produce tight general-election results. Texas appears in early positioning due to its size and potential demographic dynamics despite stronger baseline Republican support, while Kansas and Nevada draw attention for similar structural reasons. Emerging polls, nominee quality, and any late-cycle national environment changes could consolidate support around one or two outcomes as filing deadlines and primaries clarify the field.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$9,769終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several open-seat races in politically competitive states top trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest, reflecting term limits for incumbents in Georgia, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio alongside historical narrow margins in presidential voting. These states feature developing candidate fields, primary contests, and vulnerability to national economic or turnout shifts that could produce tight general-election results. Texas appears in early positioning due to its size and potential demographic dynamics despite stronger baseline Republican support, while Kansas and Nevada draw attention for similar structural reasons. Emerging polls, nominee quality, and any late-cycle national environment changes could consolidate support around one or two outcomes as filing deadlines and primaries clarify the field.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,769終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several open-seat races in politically competitive states top trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest, reflecting term limits for incumbents in Georgia, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio alongside historical narrow margins in presidential voting. These states feature developing candidate fields, primary contests, and vulnerability to national economic or turnout shifts that could produce tight general-election results. Texas appears in early positioning due to its size and potential demographic dynamics despite stronger baseline Republican support, while Kansas and Nevada draw attention for similar structural reasons. Emerging polls, nominee quality, and any late-cycle national environment changes could consolidate support around one or two outcomes as filing deadlines and primaries clarify the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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