Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tying appointed incumbent Jon Husted—such as Quantus Insights (March 16) with Husted at 46% and Brown at 44%, alongside earlier March surveys from EMC Research and OnMessage favoring Brown—have propelled trader consensus to a 54% implied probability for the Democrat in Ohio's special U.S. Senate election on November 3. This battleground matchup remains tight amid Ohio's Republican lean, with Brown's fundraising edge ($9.9 million cash-on-hand) and focus on healthcare costs offsetting Husted's endorsements from President Trump and GOP leaders. May 5 primaries, debates, and midterm turnout dynamics could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$60,935 Vol.
$60,935 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
54%
共和党
45%
$60,935 Vol.
$60,935 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$34,401 Vol.
54%
共和党
$26,534 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tying appointed incumbent Jon Husted—such as Quantus Insights (March 16) with Husted at 46% and Brown at 44%, alongside earlier March surveys from EMC Research and OnMessage favoring Brown—have propelled trader consensus to a 54% implied probability for the Democrat in Ohio's special U.S. Senate election on November 3. This battleground matchup remains tight amid Ohio's Republican lean, with Brown's fundraising edge ($9.9 million cash-on-hand) and focus on healthcare costs offsetting Husted's endorsements from President Trump and GOP leaders. May 5 primaries, debates, and midterm turnout dynamics could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
音量
$60,935終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tying appointed incumbent Jon Husted—such as Quantus Insights (March 16) with Husted at 46% and Brown at 44%, alongside earlier March surveys from EMC Research and OnMessage favoring Brown—have propelled trader consensus to a 54% implied probability for the Democrat in Ohio's special U.S. Senate election on November 3. This battleground matchup remains tight amid Ohio's Republican lean, with Brown's fundraising edge ($9.9 million cash-on-hand) and focus on healthcare costs offsetting Husted's endorsements from President Trump and GOP leaders. May 5 primaries, debates, and midterm turnout dynamics could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$60,935終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading or tying appointed incumbent Jon Husted—such as Quantus Insights (March 16) with Husted at 46% and Brown at 44%, alongside earlier March surveys from EMC Research and OnMessage favoring Brown—have propelled trader consensus to a 54% implied probability for the Democrat in Ohio's special U.S. Senate election on November 3. This battleground matchup remains tight amid Ohio's Republican lean, with Brown's fundraising edge ($9.9 million cash-on-hand) and focus on healthcare costs offsetting Husted's endorsements from President Trump and GOP leaders. May 5 primaries, debates, and midterm turnout dynamics could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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