Trader consensus heavily favors the Pacto Histórico (PH) securing 24-26 seats in Colombia's Senate following the March 8 legislative elections, driven by the National Electoral Council's final escrutinio completed on March 27, which certified exactly 25 curules for PH as the top vote-getter with around 23% of ballots under the proportional representation system. This outcome builds on preconteo tallies showing PH expanding from 20 seats in the prior Congress to lead a fragmented chamber without a majority, bolstered by strong urban turnout in Bogotá and alliances. While official proclamation remains pending, scenarios like overseas vote adjustments, indigenous curules reallocations, or rare legal challenges could nudge totals toward 27-29 or below 24, though such shifts appear improbable given the finalized scrutiny.