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政治·空港

Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

Market icon
政治·空港

Number of US flights delayed on March 25?

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<8000 100.0%

8000-8500 <1%

8500-9000 <1%

9000-9500 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<8000 100.0%

8000-8500 <1%

8500-9000 <1%

9000-9500 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<8000

$0 Vol.

Yes

8000-8500

$0 Vol.

No

8500-9000

$0 Vol.

No

9000-9500

$0 Vol.

No

9500-10000

$0 Vol.

No

10000-10500

$0 Vol.

No

10500-11000

$0 Vol.

No

>11000

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Number of US flights delayed on March 25?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「<8000」で100%、次いで「8000-8500」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Number of US flights delayed on March 25?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 24, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Number of US flights delayed on March 25?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Number of US flights delayed on March 25?」の現在のフロントランナーは「<8000」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8000-8500」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Number of US flights delayed on March 25?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。