Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4 at 70.5% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughput averaging 2.2-2.5 million—such as 2.15 million on March 31, down 12% year-over-year—amid a government shutdown-induced staffing crisis with record 11.8% callout rates and multi-hour security lines. Spring break peaks topped out below 3 million (e.g., 2.87 million on March 22), undercutting Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily forecast due to disruptions. Proximity to Easter Sunday (April 5) could spur a Friday rebound into the 3.0-3.2 million bin (41.0%), but uncertainty persists around operational strains and weather risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月4日のTSAの乗客数は？
4月4日のTSAの乗客数は？
3.0M〜3.2M 41%
320万〜340万 28%
340万〜360万 1.0%
360万〜380万 1.0%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
300万人未満
71%
3.0M〜3.2M
41%
320万〜340万
28%
340万〜360万
1%
360万〜380万
1%
>380万
1%
3.0M〜3.2M 41%
320万〜340万 28%
340万〜360万 1.0%
360万〜380万 1.0%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
300万人未満
$282 Vol.
71%
3.0M〜3.2M
$0 Vol.
41%
320万〜340万
$1,055 Vol.
28%
340万〜360万
$1,130 Vol.
1%
360万〜380万
$1,075 Vol.
1%
>380万
$1,053 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4 at 70.5% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughput averaging 2.2-2.5 million—such as 2.15 million on March 31, down 12% year-over-year—amid a government shutdown-induced staffing crisis with record 11.8% callout rates and multi-hour security lines. Spring break peaks topped out below 3 million (e.g., 2.87 million on March 22), undercutting Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily forecast due to disruptions. Proximity to Easter Sunday (April 5) could spur a Friday rebound into the 3.0-3.2 million bin (41.0%), but uncertainty persists around operational strains and weather risks.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET
音量
$4,596終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4 at 70.5% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughput averaging 2.2-2.5 million—such as 2.15 million on March 31, down 12% year-over-year—amid a government shutdown-induced staffing crisis with record 11.8% callout rates and multi-hour security lines. Spring break peaks topped out below 3 million (e.g., 2.87 million on March 22), undercutting Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily forecast due to disruptions. Proximity to Easter Sunday (April 5) could spur a Friday rebound into the 3.0-3.2 million bin (41.0%), but uncertainty persists around operational strains and weather risks.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$4,596終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETTrader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4 at 70.5% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughput averaging 2.2-2.5 million—such as 2.15 million on March 31, down 12% year-over-year—amid a government shutdown-induced staffing crisis with record 11.8% callout rates and multi-hour security lines. Spring break peaks topped out below 3 million (e.g., 2.87 million on March 22), undercutting Airlines for America’s 2.8 million daily forecast due to disruptions. Proximity to Easter Sunday (April 5) could spur a Friday rebound into the 3.0-3.2 million bin (41.0%), but uncertainty persists around operational strains and weather risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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