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選挙·グローバル選挙

ネパールの次期首相

Market icon
選挙·グローバル選挙

ネパールの次期首相

バレンドラ「バレン」シャ 100.0%

KPシャルマ・オリ <1%

マーダブ・クマール・ネパール <1%

ラビ・ラミチャネ <1%

Polymarket

$2,153,070 Vol.

バレンドラ「バレン」シャ 100.0%

KPシャルマ・オリ <1%

マーダブ・クマール・ネパール <1%

ラビ・ラミチャネ <1%

Polymarket

$2,153,070 Vol.

Market icon

KPシャルマ・オリ

$167,294 Vol.

いいえ

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マーダブ・クマール・ネパール

$30,202 Vol.

いいえ

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ラビ・ラミチャネ

$117,640 Vol.

いいえ

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ガガン・クマール・タパ

$210,463 Vol.

いいえ

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バレンドラ「バレン」シャ

$1,279,701 Vol.

はい

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プラチャンダ

$229,809 Vol.

いいえ

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クルマン・ギシン

$47,419 Vol.

いいえ

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ハルカ・サンパング

$44,448 Vol.

いいえ

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スシラ・カルキ

$26,094 Vol.

いいえ

Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Balendra “Balen” Shah at 100% implied probability as Nepal's next Prime Minister, reflecting his meteoric rise as Kathmandu's independent mayor amid chronic political instability marked by frequent no-confidence votes and coalition collapses. In the past 30 days, KP Sharma Oli's UML-Nepali Congress coalition has faced internal tensions following his July displacement of Prachanda, fueling public disillusionment with establishment figures like Oli, Prachanda, Rabi Lamichhane, and Gagan Thapa. Shah's anti-corruption platform and youth appeal have driven massive rallies and social media momentum, positioning him as the reformist alternative despite lacking a parliamentary seat—potentially resolvable via by-election or party realignment. Scenarios challenging this include coalition reconciliation, snap elections bolstering incumbents, or procedural blocks in parliament.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Balendra “Balen” Shah at 100% implied probability as Nepal's next Prime Minister, reflecting his meteoric rise as Kathmandu's independent mayor amid chronic political instability marked by frequent no-confidence votes and coalition collapses. In the past 30 days, KP Sharma Oli's UML-Nepali Congress coalition has faced internal tensions following his July displacement of Prachanda, fueling public disillusionment with establishment figures like Oli, Prachanda, Rabi Lamichhane, and Gagan Thapa. Shah's anti-corruption platform and youth appeal have driven massive rallies and social media momentum, positioning him as the reformist alternative despite lacking a parliamentary seat—potentially resolvable via by-election or party realignment. Scenarios challenging this include coalition reconciliation, snap elections bolstering incumbents, or procedural blocks in parliament.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Balendra “Balen” Shah at 100% implied probability as Nepal's next Prime Minister, reflecting his meteoric rise as Kathmandu's independent mayor amid chronic political instability marked by frequent no-confidence votes and coalition collapses. In the past 30 days, KP Sharma Oli's UML-Nepali Congress coalition has faced internal tensions following his July displacement of Prachanda, fueling public disillusionment with establishment figures like Oli, Prachanda, Rabi Lamichhane, and Gagan Thapa. Shah's anti-corruption platform and youth appeal have driven massive rallies and social media momentum, positioning him as the reformist alternative despite lacking a parliamentary seat—potentially resolvable via by-election or party realignment. Scenarios challenging this include coalition reconciliation, snap elections bolstering incumbents, or procedural blocks in parliament.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Balendra “Balen” Shah at 100% implied probability as Nepal's next Prime Minister, reflecting his meteoric rise as Kathmandu's independent mayor amid chronic political instability marked by frequent no-confidence votes and coalition collapses. In the past 30 days, KP Sharma Oli's UML-Nepali Congress coalition has faced internal tensions following his July displacement of Prachanda, fueling public disillusionment with establishment figures like Oli, Prachanda, Rabi Lamichhane, and Gagan Thapa. Shah's anti-corruption platform and youth appeal have driven massive rallies and social media momentum, positioning him as the reformist alternative despite lacking a parliamentary seat—potentially resolvable via by-election or party realignment. Scenarios challenging this include coalition reconciliation, snap elections bolstering incumbents, or procedural blocks in parliament.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ネパールの次期首相」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「バレンドラ「バレン」シャ」で100%、次いで「KPシャルマ・オリ」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネパールの次期首相」は$2.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ネパールの次期首相」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ネパールの次期首相」の現在のフロントランナーは「バレンドラ「バレン」シャ」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「KPシャルマ・オリ」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ネパールの次期首相」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。