Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 67.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflecting her advantages in recent surveys amid a competitive primary field. The latest Saint Anselm College poll from March 23 shows Ayotte at 45% against Democrat Jon Kiper's 31% (+14 margin) and 46% versus Cinde Warmington's 39% (+7), aligning with RealClearPolling's average of 47.5%-35.0%. Cinde Warmington's February launch as a repeat challenger drew early Republican digital attack ads, while no major shifts have emerged in the past week. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election, with NH's history of Republican gubernatorial strength bolstering the frontrunner's edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
67%
民主党
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
67%
民主党
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 67.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflecting her advantages in recent surveys amid a competitive primary field. The latest Saint Anselm College poll from March 23 shows Ayotte at 45% against Democrat Jon Kiper's 31% (+14 margin) and 46% versus Cinde Warmington's 39% (+7), aligning with RealClearPolling's average of 47.5%-35.0%. Cinde Warmington's February launch as a repeat challenger drew early Republican digital attack ads, while no major shifts have emerged in the past week. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election, with NH's history of Republican gubernatorial strength bolstering the frontrunner's edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 67.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflecting her advantages in recent surveys amid a competitive primary field. The latest Saint Anselm College poll from March 23 shows Ayotte at 45% against Democrat Jon Kiper's 31% (+14 margin) and 46% versus Cinde Warmington's 39% (+7), aligning with RealClearPolling's average of 47.5%-35.0%. Cinde Warmington's February launch as a repeat challenger drew early Republican digital attack ads, while no major shifts have emerged in the past week. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election, with NH's history of Republican gubernatorial strength bolstering the frontrunner's edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring a GOP hold at 67.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflecting her advantages in recent surveys amid a competitive primary field. The latest Saint Anselm College poll from March 23 shows Ayotte at 45% against Democrat Jon Kiper's 31% (+14 margin) and 46% versus Cinde Warmington's 39% (+7), aligning with RealClearPolling's average of 47.5%-35.0%. Cinde Warmington's February launch as a repeat challenger drew early Republican digital attack ads, while no major shifts have emerged in the past week. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election, with NH's history of Republican gubernatorial strength bolstering the frontrunner's edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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