Trader consensus prices Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial contest as a dead heat between Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, mirroring recent polling averages that show them tied within margins of error amid Lombardo's middling approval ratings on housing affordability and education funding. The Silver State's swing-state status amplifies dynamics, with Democrats drawing strength from union households and Latino voters while Republicans leverage rural turnout and post-2024 GOP momentum. Competitive fundraising—Ford edging recent quarterly hauls—and a divided legislature underscore the tight path-to-victory for both. Primaries in June 2026 and potential debates could tip scales, alongside national midterm headwinds or economic shifts influencing battleground turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
50%
共和党
49%
$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$3,806 Vol.
50%
共和党
$14,521 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial contest as a dead heat between Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, mirroring recent polling averages that show them tied within margins of error amid Lombardo's middling approval ratings on housing affordability and education funding. The Silver State's swing-state status amplifies dynamics, with Democrats drawing strength from union households and Latino voters while Republicans leverage rural turnout and post-2024 GOP momentum. Competitive fundraising—Ford edging recent quarterly hauls—and a divided legislature underscore the tight path-to-victory for both. Primaries in June 2026 and potential debates could tip scales, alongside national midterm headwinds or economic shifts influencing battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$18,327終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial contest as a dead heat between Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, mirroring recent polling averages that show them tied within margins of error amid Lombardo's middling approval ratings on housing affordability and education funding. The Silver State's swing-state status amplifies dynamics, with Democrats drawing strength from union households and Latino voters while Republicans leverage rural turnout and post-2024 GOP momentum. Competitive fundraising—Ford edging recent quarterly hauls—and a divided legislature underscore the tight path-to-victory for both. Primaries in June 2026 and potential debates could tip scales, alongside national midterm headwinds or economic shifts influencing battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$18,327終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial contest as a dead heat between Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, mirroring recent polling averages that show them tied within margins of error amid Lombardo's middling approval ratings on housing affordability and education funding. The Silver State's swing-state status amplifies dynamics, with Democrats drawing strength from union households and Latino voters while Republicans leverage rural turnout and post-2024 GOP momentum. Competitive fundraising—Ford edging recent quarterly hauls—and a divided legislature underscore the tight path-to-victory for both. Primaries in June 2026 and potential debates could tip scales, alongside national midterm headwinds or economic shifts influencing battleground turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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