Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district, an area with an R+6 partisan voting index and a history of Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Her 54.5 percent share in the 2024 general election and primary performance above 64 percent underscore name recognition and fundraising advantages that exceed $3 million in cash on hand. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting of the seat and one 2025 internal poll showing a generic Democrat competitive have not shifted the broader outlook, as race raters maintain Solid Republican assessments ahead of the August 4 primaries. Crowded fields on both sides and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus that the Republican nominee is the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
20%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,188 Vol.
79%
民主党
$2,183 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district, an area with an R+6 partisan voting index and a history of Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Her 54.5 percent share in the 2024 general election and primary performance above 64 percent underscore name recognition and fundraising advantages that exceed $3 million in cash on hand. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting of the seat and one 2025 internal poll showing a generic Democrat competitive have not shifted the broader outlook, as race raters maintain Solid Republican assessments ahead of the August 4 primaries. Crowded fields on both sides and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus that the Republican nominee is the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$5,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district, an area with an R+6 partisan voting index and a history of Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Her 54.5 percent share in the 2024 general election and primary performance above 64 percent underscore name recognition and fundraising advantages that exceed $3 million in cash on hand. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting of the seat and one 2025 internal poll showing a generic Democrat competitive have not shifted the broader outlook, as race raters maintain Solid Republican assessments ahead of the August 4 primaries. Crowded fields on both sides and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus that the Republican nominee is the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd congressional district, an area with an R+6 partisan voting index and a history of Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Her 54.5 percent share in the 2024 general election and primary performance above 64 percent underscore name recognition and fundraising advantages that exceed $3 million in cash on hand. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting of the seat and one 2025 internal poll showing a generic Democrat competitive have not shifted the broader outlook, as race raters maintain Solid Republican assessments ahead of the August 4 primaries. Crowded fields on both sides and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce trader consensus that the Republican nominee is the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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