Democratic nominee leads Polymarket odds at 90% for Maine's 2026 gubernatorial race—an open seat due to term limits on popular Gov. Janet Mills—reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, legislative supermajorities, and consistent victories in the last two elections amid a partisan lean favoring Democrats by around 8–10 points in recent presidential races. Attorney General Aaron Frey and House Speaker Ryan Fecteau top early Democratic primary polling with robust fundraising, while Republicans like former U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin and state Rep. Laurel Libby (who announced her bid October 7 after national attention for opposing transgender athletes in girls' volleyball) struggle against historical trends where no GOP candidate has won since 2014. Absent major scandals or shifts, primaries in March 2026 and general election dynamics favor the party establishment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
90%
共和党
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
90%
共和党
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee leads Polymarket odds at 90% for Maine's 2026 gubernatorial race—an open seat due to term limits on popular Gov. Janet Mills—reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, legislative supermajorities, and consistent victories in the last two elections amid a partisan lean favoring Democrats by around 8–10 points in recent presidential races. Attorney General Aaron Frey and House Speaker Ryan Fecteau top early Democratic primary polling with robust fundraising, while Republicans like former U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin and state Rep. Laurel Libby (who announced her bid October 7 after national attention for opposing transgender athletes in girls' volleyball) struggle against historical trends where no GOP candidate has won since 2014. Absent major scandals or shifts, primaries in March 2026 and general election dynamics favor the party establishment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee leads Polymarket odds at 90% for Maine's 2026 gubernatorial race—an open seat due to term limits on popular Gov. Janet Mills—reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, legislative supermajorities, and consistent victories in the last two elections amid a partisan lean favoring Democrats by around 8–10 points in recent presidential races. Attorney General Aaron Frey and House Speaker Ryan Fecteau top early Democratic primary polling with robust fundraising, while Republicans like former U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin and state Rep. Laurel Libby (who announced her bid October 7 after national attention for opposing transgender athletes in girls' volleyball) struggle against historical trends where no GOP candidate has won since 2014. Absent major scandals or shifts, primaries in March 2026 and general election dynamics favor the party establishment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee leads Polymarket odds at 90% for Maine's 2026 gubernatorial race—an open seat due to term limits on popular Gov. Janet Mills—reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, legislative supermajorities, and consistent victories in the last two elections amid a partisan lean favoring Democrats by around 8–10 points in recent presidential races. Attorney General Aaron Frey and House Speaker Ryan Fecteau top early Democratic primary polling with robust fundraising, while Republicans like former U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin and state Rep. Laurel Libby (who announced her bid October 7 after national attention for opposing transgender athletes in girls' volleyball) struggle against historical trends where no GOP candidate has won since 2014. Absent major scandals or shifts, primaries in March 2026 and general election dynamics favor the party establishment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問