Kentucky's U.S. Senate race for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell remains firmly in Republican hands per trader consensus at 90.5%, reflecting the state's unbroken GOP Senate streak since 1999 and no Democratic win since 1992 amid consistent Republican presidential margins over 25 points. Recent Emerson and public polls through early March show a competitive GOP primary split among Rep. Andy Barr, ex-AG Daniel Cameron, and Nate Morris, with any likely nominee poised for general election dominance against a fragmented Democratic field highlighted in last week's candidate debates. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though odds imply low upset risk barring a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, legal challenges, or unforeseen national midterm shifts boosting Democratic turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
91%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$1,271 Vol.
91%
民主党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's U.S. Senate race for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell remains firmly in Republican hands per trader consensus at 90.5%, reflecting the state's unbroken GOP Senate streak since 1999 and no Democratic win since 1992 amid consistent Republican presidential margins over 25 points. Recent Emerson and public polls through early March show a competitive GOP primary split among Rep. Andy Barr, ex-AG Daniel Cameron, and Nate Morris, with any likely nominee poised for general election dominance against a fragmented Democratic field highlighted in last week's candidate debates. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though odds imply low upset risk barring a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, legal challenges, or unforeseen national midterm shifts boosting Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$1,271終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's U.S. Senate race for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell remains firmly in Republican hands per trader consensus at 90.5%, reflecting the state's unbroken GOP Senate streak since 1999 and no Democratic win since 1992 amid consistent Republican presidential margins over 25 points. Recent Emerson and public polls through early March show a competitive GOP primary split among Rep. Andy Barr, ex-AG Daniel Cameron, and Nate Morris, with any likely nominee poised for general election dominance against a fragmented Democratic field highlighted in last week's candidate debates. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though odds imply low upset risk barring a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, legal challenges, or unforeseen national midterm shifts boosting Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$1,271終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's U.S. Senate race for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell remains firmly in Republican hands per trader consensus at 90.5%, reflecting the state's unbroken GOP Senate streak since 1999 and no Democratic win since 1992 amid consistent Republican presidential margins over 25 points. Recent Emerson and public polls through early March show a competitive GOP primary split among Rep. Andy Barr, ex-AG Daniel Cameron, and Nate Morris, with any likely nominee poised for general election dominance against a fragmented Democratic field highlighted in last week's candidate debates. The May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though odds imply low upset risk barring a scandal-plagued GOP nominee, legal challenges, or unforeseen national midterm shifts boosting Democratic turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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