Mojtaba Khamenei 34.4%
Reza Pahlavi 17%
Masoud Pezeshkian 12%
No Head of State 7.1%
$1,340,686 Vol.
$1,340,686 Vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
34%
Reza Pahlavi
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
12%
No Head of State
7%
Ali Motahari
5%
アリー・ラリジャニ
4%
アリレザ・アラフィ
4%
Sadegh Larijani
3%
Hassan Rouhani
3%
Maryam Rajavi
2%
Hassan Khomeini
2%
Hassan Shariatmadari
1%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1%
アッバース・アラークチー
1%
アリー・アスガル・ヘジャジ
1%
Mohammad Khatami
1%
アフマド・ヴァヒーディー
1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
1%
Reza Pirzadeh
<1%
アフマド・ホセイニ・コラーサーニー
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
<1%
Massoud Rajavi
<1%
Navid Shomali
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
<1%
Saeed Jalili
<1%
モフセン・アラキ
<1%
ナシル・ホセイニ
<1%
Mojtaba Khamenei 34.4%
Reza Pahlavi 17%
Masoud Pezeshkian 12%
No Head of State 7.1%
$1,340,686 Vol.
$1,340,686 Vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
34%
Reza Pahlavi
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
12%
No Head of State
7%
Ali Motahari
5%
アリー・ラリジャニ
4%
アリレザ・アラフィ
4%
Sadegh Larijani
3%
Hassan Rouhani
3%
Maryam Rajavi
2%
Hassan Khomeini
2%
Hassan Shariatmadari
1%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1%
アッバース・アラークチー
1%
アリー・アスガル・ヘジャジ
1%
Mohammad Khatami
1%
アフマド・ヴァヒーディー
1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
1%
Reza Pirzadeh
<1%
アフマド・ホセイニ・コラーサーニー
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
<1%
Massoud Rajavi
<1%
Navid Shomali
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
<1%
Saeed Jalili
<1%
モフセン・アラキ
<1%
ナシル・ホセイニ
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
マーケット開始日： Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
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