Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$142,491 Vol.
$142,491 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$142,491 Vol.
$142,491 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
音量
$142,491終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$142,491終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, operating primarily from bases in Iraq, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 amid U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that began later that month. The coalition has called for regime change and Kurdish self-determination but has framed its goals around federalism, democratic administration of Kurdish-majority areas, and participation in a unified post-regime Iran rather than territorial secession. No group has issued a formal declaration of independence or asserted exclusive sovereignty over territory by the June 30, 2026, resolution date. This consistent positioning, combined with limited armed capacity and regional opposition to fragmentation, underpins trader consensus against a near-term independence declaration. Potential shifts could arise from prolonged conflict enabling unilateral action or external backing that alters stated objectives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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