SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO, reported April 1 by Bloomberg and WSJ, has propelled trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its listing before year-end, potentially targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and kickstarting a mega-IPO wave in AI and space tech. Cerebras follows at 90% after tapping Morgan Stanley for bankers in March, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord holds 63% amid maturing platform dynamics. OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) lag due to compressed timelines despite SoftBank's $40 billion loan signaling 2026 ambitions, but volatility from recent tech selloffs and regulatory scrutiny tempers mid-tier names like Databricks and Stripe. Watch SpaceX's roadshow timeline and Q2 market conditions for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$5,302,680 Vol.

スペースX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
61%

WHOOP
47%

Anthropic
43%

Ledger
41%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
38%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
30%

Canva
27%

リモート
23%

Anduril Industries
22%

バイトダンス
22%

リップル・ラボ
20%

Glean
20%

Revolut
18%

Anysphere(カーソル)
19%

Epic Games
19%

Anduril
18%

Celonis
17%

ファニーメイ
17%

Applied Intuition
16%

Stripe
16%

Mistral AI
16%

フレディマック
15%

Ramp
14%

Vanta
13%

Waymo
12%

リプリング
12%

Brex
7%
$5,302,680 Vol.

スペースX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
61%

WHOOP
47%

Anthropic
43%

Ledger
41%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
38%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
30%

Canva
27%

リモート
23%

Anduril Industries
22%

バイトダンス
22%

リップル・ラボ
20%

Glean
20%

Revolut
18%

Anysphere(カーソル)
19%

Epic Games
19%

Anduril
18%

Celonis
17%

ファニーメイ
17%

Applied Intuition
16%

Stripe
16%

Mistral AI
16%

フレディマック
15%

Ramp
14%

Vanta
13%

Waymo
12%

リプリング
12%

Brex
7%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO, reported April 1 by Bloomberg and WSJ, has propelled trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its listing before year-end, potentially targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and kickstarting a mega-IPO wave in AI and space tech. Cerebras follows at 90% after tapping Morgan Stanley for bankers in March, capitalizing on AI chip demand, while Discord holds 63% amid maturing platform dynamics. OpenAI (38%) and Anthropic (45%) lag due to compressed timelines despite SoftBank's $40 billion loan signaling 2026 ambitions, but volatility from recent tech selloffs and regulatory scrutiny tempers mid-tier names like Databricks and Stripe. Watch SpaceX's roadshow timeline and Q2 market conditions for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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