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政治·中間選考

2026年の中間選挙後、共和党の知事は何人いますか？

Market icon
政治·中間選考

2026年の中間選挙後、共和党の知事は何人いますか？

24～25 37%

22〜23 31%

22未満 16%

26–27 9%

Polymarket

$27,718 Vol.

24～25 37%

22〜23 31%

22未満 16%

26–27 9%

Polymarket

$27,718 Vol.

22未満

$0 Vol.

16%

22〜23

$0 Vol.

31%

24～25

$27,718 Vol.

37%

26–27

$0 Vol.

9%

28〜29

$0 Vol.

5%

30～31

$0 Vol.

2%

32以上

$0 Vol.

6%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest decline to 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms at 40.5%, reflecting historical midterm headwinds for the president's party—typically averaging net losses of 25–30 House seats and variable gubernatorial flips—now under a Republican White House following the 2024 election sweep. Republicans currently hold 27 governorships, defending 20 of the 36 seats up for election, including strong incumbents like Ron DeSantis in Florida and Brian Kemp in Georgia, while Democrats protect 16 amid open races in battlegrounds such as Michigan (term-limited Gretchen Whitmer), Wisconsin (term-limited Tony Evers), and Pennsylvania (Josh Shapiro). Recent 2024 gains solidified GOP red-state dominance, but early generic ballot trends and fundraising signals in swing states like Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina position 22–23 (28.5%) as the next likely outcome, with key candidate announcements and primaries through mid-2026 poised to shift probabilities.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest decline to 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms at 40.5%, reflecting historical midterm headwinds for the president's party—typically averaging net losses of 25–30 House seats and variable gubernatorial flips—now under a Republican White House following the 2024 election sweep. Republicans currently hold 27 governorships, defending 20 of the 36 seats up for election, including strong incumbents like Ron DeSantis in Florida and Brian Kemp in Georgia, while Democrats protect 16 amid open races in battlegrounds such as Michigan (term-limited Gretchen Whitmer), Wisconsin (term-limited Tony Evers), and Pennsylvania (Josh Shapiro). Recent 2024 gains solidified GOP red-state dominance, but early generic ballot trends and fundraising signals in swing states like Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina position 22–23 (28.5%) as the next likely outcome, with key candidate announcements and primaries through mid-2026 poised to shift probabilities.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest decline to 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms at 40.5%, reflecting historical midterm headwinds for the president's party—typically averaging net losses of 25–30 House seats and variable gubernatorial flips—now under a Republican White House following the 2024 election sweep. Republicans currently hold 27 governorships, defending 20 of the 36 seats up for election, including strong incumbents like Ron DeSantis in Florida and Brian Kemp in Georgia, while Democrats protect 16 amid open races in battlegrounds such as Michigan (term-limited Gretchen Whitmer), Wisconsin (term-limited Tony Evers), and Pennsylvania (Josh Shapiro). Recent 2024 gains solidified GOP red-state dominance, but early generic ballot trends and fundraising signals in swing states like Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina position 22–23 (28.5%) as the next likely outcome, with key candidate announcements and primaries through mid-2026 poised to shift probabilities.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest decline to 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms at 40.5%, reflecting historical midterm headwinds for the president's party—typically averaging net losses of 25–30 House seats and variable gubernatorial flips—now under a Republican White House following the 2024 election sweep. Republicans currently hold 27 governorships, defending 20 of the 36 seats up for election, including strong incumbents like Ron DeSantis in Florida and Brian Kemp in Georgia, while Democrats protect 16 amid open races in battlegrounds such as Michigan (term-limited Gretchen Whitmer), Wisconsin (term-limited Tony Evers), and Pennsylvania (Josh Shapiro). Recent 2024 gains solidified GOP red-state dominance, but early generic ballot trends and fundraising signals in swing states like Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina position 22–23 (28.5%) as the next likely outcome, with key candidate announcements and primaries through mid-2026 poised to shift probabilities.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「2026年の中間選挙後、共和党の知事は何人いますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「24～25」で37%、次いで「22〜23」が31%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年の中間選挙後、共和党の知事は何人いますか？」は$27.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 15, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年の中間選挙後、共和党の知事は何人いますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年の中間選挙後、共和党の知事は何人いますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「24～25」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「22〜23」で31%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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