Official measurements from the Central Weather Administration's Taipei-area stations, including Songshan and nearby automated observatories, recorded a maximum temperature of 22°C on April 1, solidifying trader consensus at 100% for that outcome as the market approaches resolution. Cooler-than-average conditions prevailed due to lingering northeasterly winds and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, aligning with below-normal spring temperatures forecasted amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña transition. Historical April highs in Taipei average 24°C, but this day's data shows no exceedance. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies across verification stations, with final reports expected within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$156,993 Vol.
$156,993 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$156,993 Vol.
$156,993 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official measurements from the Central Weather Administration's Taipei-area stations, including Songshan and nearby automated observatories, recorded a maximum temperature of 22°C on April 1, solidifying trader consensus at 100% for that outcome as the market approaches resolution. Cooler-than-average conditions prevailed due to lingering northeasterly winds and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, aligning with below-normal spring temperatures forecasted amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña transition. Historical April highs in Taipei average 24°C, but this day's data shows no exceedance. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies across verification stations, with final reports expected within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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