Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a 16°C high temperature in London on April 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and near-zero precipitation risk, following an unsettled Easter weekend of rain and gusts up to 40mph. This aligns closely with the market-implied 50% odds on 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service's deterministic output amid high-pressure ridging. However, equal probabilities for 18°C and 19°C or higher capture ensemble model spread—particularly from ECMWF and GFS variants—where stronger subsidence or southerly flow could boost afternoon peaks by 2–3°C via enhanced insolation and reduced mixing. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; watch daily updates through April 5 for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月6日のロンドンの最高気温は？
4月6日のロンドンの最高気温は？
14°C 27%
15°C 22%
16℃ 18%
13℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
9℃以下
1%
10℃
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
13%
13℃
16%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16℃
25%
17℃
14%
18°C
12%
19°C以上
10%
14°C 27%
15°C 22%
16℃ 18%
13℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
9℃以下
$306 Vol.
1%
10℃
$110 Vol.
3%
11°C
$74 Vol.
3%
12°C
$28 Vol.
13%
13℃
$59 Vol.
16%
14°C
$92 Vol.
27%
15°C
$56 Vol.
22%
16℃
$56 Vol.
25%
17℃
$86 Vol.
14%
18°C
$8 Vol.
12%
19°C以上
$24 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a 16°C high temperature in London on April 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and near-zero precipitation risk, following an unsettled Easter weekend of rain and gusts up to 40mph. This aligns closely with the market-implied 50% odds on 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service's deterministic output amid high-pressure ridging. However, equal probabilities for 18°C and 19°C or higher capture ensemble model spread—particularly from ECMWF and GFS variants—where stronger subsidence or southerly flow could boost afternoon peaks by 2–3°C via enhanced insolation and reduced mixing. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; watch daily updates through April 5 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
音量
$900終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a 16°C high temperature in London on April 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and near-zero precipitation risk, following an unsettled Easter weekend of rain and gusts up to 40mph. This aligns closely with the market-implied 50% odds on 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service's deterministic output amid high-pressure ridging. However, equal probabilities for 18°C and 19°C or higher capture ensemble model spread—particularly from ECMWF and GFS variants—where stronger subsidence or southerly flow could boost afternoon peaks by 2–3°C via enhanced insolation and reduced mixing. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; watch daily updates through April 5 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$900終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETMet Office's latest forecast, updated April 2, projects a 16°C high temperature in London on April 6 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and near-zero precipitation risk, following an unsettled Easter weekend of rain and gusts up to 40mph. This aligns closely with the market-implied 50% odds on 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service's deterministic output amid high-pressure ridging. However, equal probabilities for 18°C and 19°C or higher capture ensemble model spread—particularly from ECMWF and GFS variants—where stronger subsidence or southerly flow could boost afternoon peaks by 2–3°C via enhanced insolation and reduced mixing. Historical early April averages hover at 13°C, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; watch daily updates through April 5 for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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