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政治·ハウス・プライマリー

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

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政治·ハウス・プライマリー

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Andrew Clyde 86%

Sam Couvillon 12%

Gregg Poole 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Andrew Clyde 86%

Sam Couvillon 12%

Gregg Poole 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Andrew Clyde

$164 Vol.

86%

Sam Couvillon

$0 Vol.

12%

Gregg Poole

$4,140 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage in the safely Republican district, President Trump's endorsement—which he highlighted in a new campaign ad released March 27—and highest cash-on-hand position of over $300,000 as of early 2026 filings. Challenger Sam Couvillon trails at 12% on superior total fundraising exceeding $600,000 and local appeal as former Gainesville mayor, where he aggressively critiqued Clyde's constituent service during the March 23 district GOP debate. Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole holds 6% amid self-funded efforts. A post-debate straw poll favored Couvillon among attendees, but broader trader sentiment prioritizes Clyde's resources ahead of the May 19 primary.

Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage in the safely Republican district, President Trump's endorsement—which he highlighted in a new campaign ad released March 27—and highest cash-on-hand position of over $300,000 as of early 2026 filings. Challenger Sam Couvillon trails at 12% on superior total fundraising exceeding $600,000 and local appeal as former Gainesville mayor, where he aggressively critiqued Clyde's constituent service during the March 23 district GOP debate. Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole holds 6% amid self-funded efforts. A post-debate straw poll favored Couvillon among attendees, but broader trader sentiment prioritizes Clyde's resources ahead of the May 19 primary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage in the safely Republican district, President Trump's endorsement—which he highlighted in a new campaign ad released March 27—and highest cash-on-hand position of over $300,000 as of early 2026 filings. Challenger Sam Couvillon trails at 12% on superior total fundraising exceeding $600,000 and local appeal as former Gainesville mayor, where he aggressively critiqued Clyde's constituent service during the March 23 district GOP debate. Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole holds 6% amid self-funded efforts. A post-debate straw poll favored Couvillon among attendees, but broader trader sentiment prioritizes Clyde's resources ahead of the May 19 primary.

Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage in the safely Republican district, President Trump's endorsement—which he highlighted in a new campaign ad released March 27—and highest cash-on-hand position of over $300,000 as of early 2026 filings. Challenger Sam Couvillon trails at 12% on superior total fundraising exceeding $600,000 and local appeal as former Gainesville mayor, where he aggressively critiqued Clyde's constituent service during the March 23 district GOP debate. Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole holds 6% amid self-funded efforts. A post-debate straw poll favored Couvillon among attendees, but broader trader sentiment prioritizes Clyde's resources ahead of the May 19 primary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「GA-09 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Andrew Clyde」で86%、次いで「Sam Couvillon」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、86¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に86%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「GA-09 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 20, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「GA-09 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「GA-09 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Andrew Clyde」で86%であり、市場がこの結果に86%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Sam Couvillon」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「GA-09 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。