Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Frederica Wilson, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election, benefits from the district's urban character in southeast Florida, where Democratic voter registration and support in recent cycles have created a structural advantage. Limited Republican activity in the race, combined with the absence of major shifts in demographics or redistricting, reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include an incumbent retirement, an unexpected primary upset, or a broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in the final months before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,268 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,477 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Frederica Wilson, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election, benefits from the district's urban character in southeast Florida, where Democratic voter registration and support in recent cycles have created a structural advantage. Limited Republican activity in the race, combined with the absence of major shifts in demographics or redistricting, reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include an incumbent retirement, an unexpected primary upset, or a broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$17,745終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Frederica Wilson, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election, benefits from the district's urban character in southeast Florida, where Democratic voter registration and support in recent cycles have created a structural advantage. Limited Republican activity in the race, combined with the absence of major shifts in demographics or redistricting, reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include an incumbent retirement, an unexpected primary upset, or a broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,745終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Frederica Wilson, seeking reelection in the November 2026 general election, benefits from the district's urban character in southeast Florida, where Democratic voter registration and support in recent cycles have created a structural advantage. Limited Republican activity in the race, combined with the absence of major shifts in demographics or redistricting, reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include an incumbent retirement, an unexpected primary upset, or a broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in the final months before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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