Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent for the 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson, first elected in 2012, benefits from the district's urban composition in southeast Florida and its historical voting patterns, which have delivered consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 preserved this partisan balance without shifting the seat into competitive territory. While primary filing deadlines approach in June and the August primary remains ahead, no significant Republican challengers have emerged to alter the outlook. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, health-related withdrawal, or major scandal could open the race, though the underlying district fundamentals would still favor Democratic retention in most scenarios.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,268 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,477 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent for the 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson, first elected in 2012, benefits from the district's urban composition in southeast Florida and its historical voting patterns, which have delivered consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 preserved this partisan balance without shifting the seat into competitive territory. While primary filing deadlines approach in June and the August primary remains ahead, no significant Republican challengers have emerged to alter the outlook. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, health-related withdrawal, or major scandal could open the race, though the underlying district fundamentals would still favor Democratic retention in most scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$17,745終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent for the 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson, first elected in 2012, benefits from the district's urban composition in southeast Florida and its historical voting patterns, which have delivered consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 preserved this partisan balance without shifting the seat into competitive territory. While primary filing deadlines approach in June and the August primary remains ahead, no significant Republican challengers have emerged to alter the outlook. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, health-related withdrawal, or major scandal could open the race, though the underlying district fundamentals would still favor Democratic retention in most scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,745終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent for the 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson, first elected in 2012, benefits from the district's urban composition in southeast Florida and its historical voting patterns, which have delivered consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Recent redistricting approved in April 2026 preserved this partisan balance without shifting the seat into competitive territory. While primary filing deadlines approach in June and the August primary remains ahead, no significant Republican challengers have emerged to alter the outlook. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, health-related withdrawal, or major scandal could open the race, though the underlying district fundamentals would still favor Democratic retention in most scenarios.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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