Florida’s 23rd congressional district leans Democratic after mid-decade redistricting, giving the party a structural edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces a primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin on August 18, yet recent polling shows Moskowitz holding a clear lead among likely Democratic voters. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Lean Democratic or better, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical performance. Traders in prediction markets have aligned with these indicators, pricing the Democratic nominee as the strong favorite while Republican prospects remain limited by the district’s makeup and the absence of a high-profile challenger to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
82%
共和党
19%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$595 Vol.
82%
共和党
$626 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 23rd congressional district leans Democratic after mid-decade redistricting, giving the party a structural edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces a primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin on August 18, yet recent polling shows Moskowitz holding a clear lead among likely Democratic voters. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Lean Democratic or better, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical performance. Traders in prediction markets have aligned with these indicators, pricing the Democratic nominee as the strong favorite while Republican prospects remain limited by the district’s makeup and the absence of a high-profile challenger to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$1,221終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 23rd congressional district leans Democratic after mid-decade redistricting, giving the party a structural edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces a primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin on August 18, yet recent polling shows Moskowitz holding a clear lead among likely Democratic voters. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Lean Democratic or better, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical performance. Traders in prediction markets have aligned with these indicators, pricing the Democratic nominee as the strong favorite while Republican prospects remain limited by the district’s makeup and the absence of a high-profile challenger to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,221終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 23rd congressional district leans Democratic after mid-decade redistricting, giving the party a structural edge in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz faces a primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin on August 18, yet recent polling shows Moskowitz holding a clear lead among likely Democratic voters. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the seat Lean Democratic or better, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical performance. Traders in prediction markets have aligned with these indicators, pricing the Democratic nominee as the strong favorite while Republican prospects remain limited by the district’s makeup and the absence of a high-profile challenger to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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