Trader consensus prices Democratic Party at 50.5% and Republican Party at 49.0% for the FL-23 House seat, reflecting the district's narrow Democratic lean in recent cycles and vulnerability amid Florida's ongoing mid-decade redistricting push led by Gov. Ron DeSantis, which could redraw boundaries to favor Republicans. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D) faces a stiff August 18 Democratic primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin, who led 49%-36% in a March poll after balanced bios, potentially weakening the nominee. On the GOP side, recruit Scott Singer raised over $1.3 million in Q1, signaling strong NRCC targeting. National midterm dynamics, turnout in South Florida's diverse Broward and Palm Beach enclaves, and redistricting court rulings could tip the balance before November's general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
65%
共和党
36%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$10 Vol.
65%
共和党
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party at 50.5% and Republican Party at 49.0% for the FL-23 House seat, reflecting the district's narrow Democratic lean in recent cycles and vulnerability amid Florida's ongoing mid-decade redistricting push led by Gov. Ron DeSantis, which could redraw boundaries to favor Republicans. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D) faces a stiff August 18 Democratic primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin, who led 49%-36% in a March poll after balanced bios, potentially weakening the nominee. On the GOP side, recruit Scott Singer raised over $1.3 million in Q1, signaling strong NRCC targeting. National midterm dynamics, turnout in South Florida's diverse Broward and Palm Beach enclaves, and redistricting court rulings could tip the balance before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$10終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party at 50.5% and Republican Party at 49.0% for the FL-23 House seat, reflecting the district's narrow Democratic lean in recent cycles and vulnerability amid Florida's ongoing mid-decade redistricting push led by Gov. Ron DeSantis, which could redraw boundaries to favor Republicans. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D) faces a stiff August 18 Democratic primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin, who led 49%-36% in a March poll after balanced bios, potentially weakening the nominee. On the GOP side, recruit Scott Singer raised over $1.3 million in Q1, signaling strong NRCC targeting. National midterm dynamics, turnout in South Florida's diverse Broward and Palm Beach enclaves, and redistricting court rulings could tip the balance before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party at 50.5% and Republican Party at 49.0% for the FL-23 House seat, reflecting the district's narrow Democratic lean in recent cycles and vulnerability amid Florida's ongoing mid-decade redistricting push led by Gov. Ron DeSantis, which could redraw boundaries to favor Republicans. Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D) faces a stiff August 18 Democratic primary challenge from progressive Oliver Larkin, who led 49%-36% in a March poll after balanced bios, potentially weakening the nominee. On the GOP side, recruit Scott Singer raised over $1.3 million in Q1, signaling strong NRCC targeting. National midterm dynamics, turnout in South Florida's diverse Broward and Palm Beach enclaves, and redistricting court rulings could tip the balance before November's general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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