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First leader out of power in 2025?

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First leader out of power in 2025?

Ishiba - Japan PM 100.0%

al-Sharaa - Syria President <1%

Meloni - Italy PM <1%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President <1%

Polymarket

$64,368,639 Vol.

Ishiba - Japan PM 100.0%

al-Sharaa - Syria President <1%

Meloni - Italy PM <1%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President <1%

Polymarket

$64,368,639 Vol.

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al-Sharaa - Syria President

$1,491,993 Vol.

No

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Meloni - Italy PM

$812,942 Vol.

No

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Ishiba - Japan PM

$2,093,494 Vol.

Yes

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Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$10,288,596 Vol.

No

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Putin - Russia President

$1,782,662 Vol.

No

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Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$1,645,702 Vol.

No

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Macron - France President

$1,659,437 Vol.

No

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el-Sisi - Egypt President

$791,893 Vol.

No

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Trump - USA President

$2,519,416 Vol.

No

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Starmer - UK PM

$1,434,881 Vol.

No

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Milei - Argentina President

$781,298 Vol.

No

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Newsom - California Governor

$552,939 Vol.

No

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Netanyahu - Israel PM

$1,593,629 Vol.

No

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Albanese - Australia PM

$17,791,731 Vol.

No

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Maduro - Venezuela President

$2,046,071 Vol.

No

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None in 2025

$2,181,638 Vol.

No

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Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

$1,740,272 Vol.

No

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Xi - General Secretary of CCP

$1,833,966 Vol.

No

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Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$833,893 Vol.

No

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Kim - Supreme Leader of NK

$10,492,185 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「First leader out of power in 2025?」はPolymarket上の20個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Ishiba - Japan PM」で100%、次いで「al-Sharaa - Syria President」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「First leader out of power in 2025?」は$64.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「First leader out of power in 2025?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている20個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「First leader out of power in 2025?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Ishiba - Japan PM」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「al-Sharaa - Syria President」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「First leader out of power in 2025?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。