Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of public S-1 filing or roadshow progress since the company's confidential IPO submission in early January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Despite robust fundamentals—$800 million annual recurring revenue, over 20% year-over-year growth, and 250 million monthly active users—subdued IPO market conditions for tech platforms, including valuation compression from Discord's 2021 $15 billion private round, have fueled delays. The 11% odds on a sub-$15 billion market cap upon listing capture trader concerns over down-round risks amid slowing user growth and competition from Telegram and WhatsApp; higher brackets remain negligible. Key catalysts include potential S-1 release and broader equity market sentiment ahead of Q2.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 82%
150億ドル未満 10.9%
150～200億ドル 1.9%
300億ドル以上 1.2%
$802,992 Vol.
$802,992 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
150億ドル未満
11%
150～200億ドル
2%
200～250億ドル
1%
250〜300億ドル
1%
300億ドル以上
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
82%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 82%
150億ドル未満 10.9%
150～200億ドル 1.9%
300億ドル以上 1.2%
$802,992 Vol.
$802,992 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
150億ドル未満
$289,896 Vol.
11%
150～200億ドル
$100,284 Vol.
2%
200～250億ドル
$67,234 Vol.
1%
250〜300億ドル
$82,259 Vol.
1%
300億ドル以上
$88,633 Vol.
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$174,686 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of public S-1 filing or roadshow progress since the company's confidential IPO submission in early January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Despite robust fundamentals—$800 million annual recurring revenue, over 20% year-over-year growth, and 250 million monthly active users—subdued IPO market conditions for tech platforms, including valuation compression from Discord's 2021 $15 billion private round, have fueled delays. The 11% odds on a sub-$15 billion market cap upon listing capture trader concerns over down-round risks amid slowing user growth and competition from Telegram and WhatsApp; higher brackets remain negligible. Key catalysts include potential S-1 release and broader equity market sentiment ahead of Q2.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
音量
$802,992終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of public S-1 filing or roadshow progress since the company's confidential IPO submission in early January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Despite robust fundamentals—$800 million annual recurring revenue, over 20% year-over-year growth, and 250 million monthly active users—subdued IPO market conditions for tech platforms, including valuation compression from Discord's 2021 $15 billion private round, have fueled delays. The 11% odds on a sub-$15 billion market cap upon listing capture trader concerns over down-round risks amid slowing user growth and competition from Telegram and WhatsApp; higher brackets remain negligible. Key catalysts include potential S-1 release and broader equity market sentiment ahead of Q2.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$802,992終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of public S-1 filing or roadshow progress since the company's confidential IPO submission in early January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Despite robust fundamentals—$800 million annual recurring revenue, over 20% year-over-year growth, and 250 million monthly active users—subdued IPO market conditions for tech platforms, including valuation compression from Discord's 2021 $15 billion private round, have fueled delays. The 11% odds on a sub-$15 billion market cap upon listing capture trader concerns over down-round risks amid slowing user growth and competition from Telegram and WhatsApp; higher brackets remain negligible. Key catalysts include potential S-1 release and broader equity market sentiment ahead of Q2.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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