Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting prolonged SEC review following the company's confidential filing in early January without subsequent public S-1 disclosure or roadshow signals. Secondary market trading via platforms like Forge Global values Discord at around $7.2 billion enterprise value as of early March—down from its 2021 peak of $15 billion—amid $800 million annualized recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, yet constrained by gaming sector headwinds and broader tech IPO caution. The 12% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut underscore valuation realism, with fragmented higher brackets signaling skepticism on aggressive pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 emergence or Q2 market window before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 83%
150億ドル未満 11.9%
150～200億ドル 1.8%
300億ドル以上 1.7%
$815,757 Vol.
$815,757 Vol.
2026/06/30
150億ドル未満
12%
150～200億ドル
2%
200～250億ドル
1%
250〜300億ドル
1%
300億ドル以上
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
83%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 83%
150億ドル未満 11.9%
150～200億ドル 1.8%
300億ドル以上 1.7%
$815,757 Vol.
$815,757 Vol.
2026/06/30
150億ドル未満
$292,708 Vol.
12%
150～200億ドル
$103,679 Vol.
2%
200～250億ドル
$68,436 Vol.
1%
250〜300億ドル
$82,739 Vol.
1%
300億ドル以上
$89,162 Vol.
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$179,034 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting prolonged SEC review following the company's confidential filing in early January without subsequent public S-1 disclosure or roadshow signals. Secondary market trading via platforms like Forge Global values Discord at around $7.2 billion enterprise value as of early March—down from its 2021 peak of $15 billion—amid $800 million annualized recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, yet constrained by gaming sector headwinds and broader tech IPO caution. The 12% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut underscore valuation realism, with fragmented higher brackets signaling skepticism on aggressive pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 emergence or Q2 market window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
音量
$815,757終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting prolonged SEC review following the company's confidential filing in early January without subsequent public S-1 disclosure or roadshow signals. Secondary market trading via platforms like Forge Global values Discord at around $7.2 billion enterprise value as of early March—down from its 2021 peak of $15 billion—amid $800 million annualized recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, yet constrained by gaming sector headwinds and broader tech IPO caution. The 12% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut underscore valuation realism, with fragmented higher brackets signaling skepticism on aggressive pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 emergence or Q2 market window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$815,757終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting prolonged SEC review following the company's confidential filing in early January without subsequent public S-1 disclosure or roadshow signals. Secondary market trading via platforms like Forge Global values Discord at around $7.2 billion enterprise value as of early March—down from its 2021 peak of $15 billion—amid $800 million annualized recurring revenue and 250 million monthly active users, yet constrained by gaming sector headwinds and broader tech IPO caution. The 12% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut underscore valuation realism, with fragmented higher brackets signaling skepticism on aggressive pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 emergence or Q2 market window before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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