Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket odds at 63.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, reflecting trader consensus on her edge in a fragmented first-past-the-post race, as shown in an April 11 poll giving her 25% to incumbent Conservative Jason Perry's 23% and Green Peter Underwood's 22%. Splintered voting—Reform UK's Ben Flook at 18%, Liberal Democrats' Richard Howard at 11%—threatens Perry's re-election despite his claims of stabilizing council finances amid £1.4 billion debt and government commissioners. Underwood gains from recent Green by-election wins and national third-party surges, while Davis weathers a manifesto row over Gaza divestment calls. Postal voting starts soon, with council projections showing no majority and Conservatives holding most seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ロウェナ・デイヴィス 64%
ピーター・アンダーウッド 18.4%
ジェイソン・ペリー 17%
ホセ・ジョセフ <1%
$39,332 Vol.
$39,332 Vol.

ロウェナ・デイヴィス
64%

ピーター・アンダーウッド
18%

ジェイソン・ペリー
17%

ホセ・ジョセフ
1%

ベン・フルック
<1%

マイケル・ピュージー
<1%

リチャード・ハワード
<1%
ロウェナ・デイヴィス 64%
ピーター・アンダーウッド 18.4%
ジェイソン・ペリー 17%
ホセ・ジョセフ <1%
$39,332 Vol.
$39,332 Vol.

ロウェナ・デイヴィス
64%

ピーター・アンダーウッド
18%

ジェイソン・ペリー
17%

ホセ・ジョセフ
1%

ベン・フルック
<1%

マイケル・ピュージー
<1%

リチャード・ハワード
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
マーケット開始日: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket odds at 63.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, reflecting trader consensus on her edge in a fragmented first-past-the-post race, as shown in an April 11 poll giving her 25% to incumbent Conservative Jason Perry's 23% and Green Peter Underwood's 22%. Splintered voting—Reform UK's Ben Flook at 18%, Liberal Democrats' Richard Howard at 11%—threatens Perry's re-election despite his claims of stabilizing council finances amid £1.4 billion debt and government commissioners. Underwood gains from recent Green by-election wins and national third-party surges, while Davis weathers a manifesto row over Gaza divestment calls. Postal voting starts soon, with council projections showing no majority and Conservatives holding most seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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