Market icon
政治·グローバル選挙

民主党副社長ノミニー2028

Market icon
政治·グローバル選挙

民主党副社長ノミニー2028

Josh Shapiro 36%

Tim Walz 33%

Ruben Gallego 33%

Jon Ossoff 32%

Polymarket
新規

Josh Shapiro 36%

Tim Walz 33%

Ruben Gallego 33%

Jon Ossoff 32%

Polymarket
新規

Gavin Newsom

$23 Vol.

23%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1 Vol.

23%

Pete Buttigieg

$1 Vol.

24%

Josh Shapiro

$1 Vol.

36%

Wes Moore

$1 Vol.

30%

Stephen A. Smith

$1 Vol.

5%

Kamala Harris

$1 Vol.

22%

Gretchen Whitmer

$1 Vol.

26%

Andy Beshear

$1 Vol.

24%

Jon Ossoff

$1 Vol.

32%

Mark Cuban

$2 Vol.

26%

J.B. Pritzker

$1 Vol.

20%

Raphael Warnock

$1 Vol.

24%

Cory Booker

$1 Vol.

28%

Tim Walz

$1 Vol.

33%

Michelle Obama

$1 Vol.

32%

Mark Kelly

$1 Vol.

24%

Rahm Emanuel

$1 Vol.

29%

Gina Raimondo

$1 Vol.

26%

Zohran Mamdani

$1 Vol.

6%

Roy Cooper

$1 Vol.

21%

John Fetterman

$1 Vol.

32%

Jared Polis

$1 Vol.

32%

Jon Stewart

$1 Vol.

22%

Barack Obama

$1 Vol.

22%

Hillary Clinton

$1 Vol.

22%

Liz Cheney

$1 Vol.

21%

Bernie Sanders

$1 Vol.

21%

Phil Murphy

$1 Vol.

28%

LeBron James

$1 Vol.

5%

Hunter Biden

$1 Vol.

10%

George Clooney

$1 Vol.

32%

Chelsea Clinton

$1 Vol.

32%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12 Vol.

6%

Oprah Winfrey

$1 Vol.

28%

Andrew Yang

$1 Vol.

28%

Beto O’Rourke

$1 Vol.

22%

Kim Kardashian

$1 Vol.

5%

Chris Murphy

$1 Vol.

32%

Ruben Gallego

$1 Vol.

33%

Ro Khanna

$1 Vol.

20%

James Talarico

$1 Vol.

20%

Elissa Slotkin

$1 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Democratic VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field amid no clear presidential frontrunner, with Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro edging ahead at 35.5% due to his strong net favorability in a March Emerson poll and appeal as a battleground-state executive post-2024 losses. Governors Tim Walz and Jared Polis tie at 33.5% alongside national figures like Michelle Obama and Sen. John Fetterman, buoyed by recent visibility at the National Action Network convention where potentials tested midterm messaging against Trump policies. The tight cluster stems from diverse paths-to-victory—swing-state incumbency, progressive star power, or celebrity draw—pending 2026 midterm results, early primary fundraising, and DNC site decisions like a potential Philadelphia convention boosting Shapiro.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$88
終了日
2028/08/10
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Democratic VP nominee for 2028 reflects a wide-open field amid no clear presidential frontrunner, with Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro edging ahead at 35.5% due to his strong net favorability in a March Emerson poll and appeal as a battleground-state executive post-2024 losses. Governors Tim Walz and Jared Polis tie at 33.5% alongside national figures like Michelle Obama and Sen. John Fetterman, buoyed by recent visibility at the National Action Network convention where potentials tested midterm messaging against Trump policies. The tight cluster stems from diverse paths-to-victory—swing-state incumbency, progressive star power, or celebrity draw—pending 2026 midterm results, early primary fundraising, and DNC site decisions like a potential Philadelphia convention boosting Shapiro.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$88
終了日
2028/08/10
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」はPolymarket上の43+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Josh Shapiro」で36%、次いで「Tim Walz」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 14, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」で取引するには、このページに記載されている43+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」の現在のフロントランナーは「Josh Shapiro」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Tim Walz」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。