The wide dispersion of probabilities in the Democratic vice presidential nominee market for 2028 stems from the extended timeline before the presidential primaries begin and the absence of a presumptive nominee. With the 2024 cycle concluded, attention has shifted to an expansive field of potential presidential contenders, leaving the vice presidential slot undetermined and subject to future ticket-balancing considerations such as regional appeal, demographic outreach, and Senate or gubernatorial experience. Celebrity and family-name entries command attention in the current pricing, while established officeholders trail due to limited early positioning. Trader consensus reflects this baseline uncertainty, with separation likely to emerge only after clearer signals from 2026 midterms, candidate announcements, or primary polling trends narrow the presidential field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
Zohran Mamdani 8.0%
Stephen A. Smith 6.0%
$27,715 Vol.
$27,715 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Zohran Mamdani
11%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
2%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
2%
Barack Obama
3%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Phil Murphy
19%
LeBron James
<1%
Hunter Biden
3%
George Clooney
16%
Chelsea Clinton
23%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Kim Kardashian
19%
Chris Murphy
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
19%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
Zohran Mamdani 8.0%
Stephen A. Smith 6.0%
$27,715 Vol.
$27,715 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
6%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
5%
Gina Raimondo
5%
Zohran Mamdani
11%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
2%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
2%
Barack Obama
3%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Phil Murphy
19%
LeBron James
<1%
Hunter Biden
3%
George Clooney
16%
Chelsea Clinton
23%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
4%
Kim Kardashian
19%
Chris Murphy
2%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
19%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
3%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide dispersion of probabilities in the Democratic vice presidential nominee market for 2028 stems from the extended timeline before the presidential primaries begin and the absence of a presumptive nominee. With the 2024 cycle concluded, attention has shifted to an expansive field of potential presidential contenders, leaving the vice presidential slot undetermined and subject to future ticket-balancing considerations such as regional appeal, demographic outreach, and Senate or gubernatorial experience. Celebrity and family-name entries command attention in the current pricing, while established officeholders trail due to limited early positioning. Trader consensus reflects this baseline uncertainty, with separation likely to emerge only after clearer signals from 2026 midterms, candidate announcements, or primary polling trends narrow the presidential field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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