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政治·グローバル選挙

民主党副社長ノミニー2028

icon for 民主党副社長ノミニー2028
政治·グローバル選挙

民主党副社長ノミニー2028

Zohran Mamdani 12.4%

George Clooney 11.3%

Barack Obama 11.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Polymarket

$14,378 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani 12.4%

George Clooney 11.3%

Barack Obama 11.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%

Polymarket

$14,378 Vol.

Gavin Newsom

$384 Vol.

7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$930 Vol.

11%

Pete Buttigieg

$216 Vol.

7%

Josh Shapiro

$571 Vol.

2%

Wes Moore

$251 Vol.

7%

Stephen A. Smith

$209 Vol.

4%

Kamala Harris

$163 Vol.

4%

Gretchen Whitmer

$336 Vol.

8%

Andy Beshear

$376 Vol.

3%

Jon Ossoff

$581 Vol.

3%

Mark Cuban

$452 Vol.

3%

J.B. Pritzker

$162 Vol.

5%

Raphael Warnock

$142 Vol.

6%

Cory Booker

$249 Vol.

5%

Tim Walz

$610 Vol.

3%

Michelle Obama

$836 Vol.

3%

Mark Kelly

$931 Vol.

2%

Rahm Emanuel

$308 Vol.

8%

Gina Raimondo

$220 Vol.

1%

Zohran Mamdani

$586 Vol.

12%

Roy Cooper

$213 Vol.

1%

John Fetterman

$353 Vol.

1%

Jared Polis

$202 Vol.

5%

Jon Stewart

$338 Vol.

<1%

Barack Obama

$512 Vol.

11%

Hillary Clinton

$202 Vol.

5%

Liz Cheney

$193 Vol.

4%

Bernie Sanders

$279 Vol.

9%

Phil Murphy

$229 Vol.

6%

LeBron James

$163 Vol.

1%

Hunter Biden

$372 Vol.

1%

George Clooney

$140 Vol.

11%

Chelsea Clinton

$104 Vol.

6%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$223 Vol.

4%

Oprah Winfrey

$104 Vol.

9%

Andrew Yang

$202 Vol.

3%

Beto O’Rourke

$210 Vol.

7%

Kim Kardashian

$104 Vol.

11%

Chris Murphy

$381 Vol.

<1%

Ruben Gallego

$181 Vol.

6%

Ro Khanna

$551 Vol.

10%

James Talarico

$424 Vol.

8%

Elissa Slotkin

$182 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic vice presidential nomination for 2028 sits in a highly fragmented field, with trader consensus showing no contender above 13 percent implied probability amid a broad roster of elected officials, former officeholders, and public figures. Leading options such as Zohran Mamdani, George Clooney, Barack Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Kim Kardashian cluster tightly near 11–12 percent, driven by the early timeline before the 2028 presidential primaries determine the ticket. Differentiators include current congressional or gubernatorial roles for figures like Ro Khanna and Gretchen Whitmer versus national name recognition for celebrities and former presidents. Consolidation behind one outcome could accelerate after the 2026 midterms reshape party leadership, during primary debates, or once a presidential nominee begins vice presidential vetting and balancing considerations.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,378
終了日
2028/08/10
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic vice presidential nomination for 2028 sits in a highly fragmented field, with trader consensus showing no contender above 13 percent implied probability amid a broad roster of elected officials, former officeholders, and public figures. Leading options such as Zohran Mamdani, George Clooney, Barack Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Kim Kardashian cluster tightly near 11–12 percent, driven by the early timeline before the 2028 presidential primaries determine the ticket. Differentiators include current congressional or gubernatorial roles for figures like Ro Khanna and Gretchen Whitmer versus national name recognition for celebrities and former presidents. Consolidation behind one outcome could accelerate after the 2026 midterms reshape party leadership, during primary debates, or once a presidential nominee begins vice presidential vetting and balancing considerations.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,378
終了日
2028/08/10
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」はPolymarket上の43+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Zohran Mamdani」で12%、次いで「Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」は$14.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」で取引するには、このページに記載されている43+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」の現在のフロントランナーは「Zohran Mamdani」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「民主党副社長ノミニー2028」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。