Labour faces steep losses in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats, as recent opinion polls show the party trailing Reform UK (24%) and Greens (18%) at 17-19%, with Keir Starmer's net approval at -48 amid government dissatisfaction at -47. Projections from ward-level models forecast Labour shedding 1,000-1,900 seats from its 2021-2022 gains, potentially holding under 500 in some scenarios, due to incumbent midterm pressures, policy backlash, and vote fragmentation. By-elections highlight vulnerabilities, including Green victories in Labour strongholds and rare holds against Reform. Scottish Parliament and Welsh Senedd polls add parallel risks, with results shaping national momentum before any snap general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/05/07
300+
93%
400+
78%
500+
81%
600+
56%
700+
40%
$9,631 Vol.
300+
$515 Vol.
93%
400+
$132 Vol.
78%
500+
$359 Vol.
81%
600+
$416 Vol.
56%
700+
$8,209 Vol.
40%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Labour faces steep losses in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats, as recent opinion polls show the party trailing Reform UK (24%) and Greens (18%) at 17-19%, with Keir Starmer's net approval at -48 amid government dissatisfaction at -47. Projections from ward-level models forecast Labour shedding 1,000-1,900 seats from its 2021-2022 gains, potentially holding under 500 in some scenarios, due to incumbent midterm pressures, policy backlash, and vote fragmentation. By-elections highlight vulnerabilities, including Green victories in Labour strongholds and rare holds against Reform. Scottish Parliament and Welsh Senedd polls add parallel risks, with results shaping national momentum before any snap general election.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 5:31 PM ET
音量
$9,631終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Labour faces steep losses in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats, as recent opinion polls show the party trailing Reform UK (24%) and Greens (18%) at 17-19%, with Keir Starmer's net approval at -48 amid government dissatisfaction at -47. Projections from ward-level models forecast Labour shedding 1,000-1,900 seats from its 2021-2022 gains, potentially holding under 500 in some scenarios, due to incumbent midterm pressures, policy backlash, and vote fragmentation. By-elections highlight vulnerabilities, including Green victories in Labour strongholds and rare holds against Reform. Scottish Parliament and Welsh Senedd polls add parallel risks, with results shaping national momentum before any snap general election.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
音量
$9,631終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour faces steep losses in the May 7, 2026, local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats, as recent opinion polls show the party trailing Reform UK (24%) and Greens (18%) at 17-19%, with Keir Starmer's net approval at -48 amid government dissatisfaction at -47. Projections from ward-level models forecast Labour shedding 1,000-1,900 seats from its 2021-2022 gains, potentially holding under 500 in some scenarios, due to incumbent midterm pressures, policy backlash, and vote fragmentation. By-elections highlight vulnerabilities, including Green victories in Labour strongholds and rare holds against Reform. Scottish Parliament and Welsh Senedd polls add parallel risks, with results shaping national momentum before any snap general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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