The Green Party's surging poll ratings, tying or exceeding Labour at around 16% in early April YouGov surveys, alongside historic by-election victories like Gorton and Denton in late February, have fueled projections of substantial seat gains in the May 7 local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats. Leader Zack Polanski's housing-focused campaign launch on April 9 targets Labour strongholds in urban areas such as Hackney, Lambeth, and Leeds, capitalizing on councillor defections and voter disillusionment amid national fragmentation. Reform UK's parallel rise adds competition, but Greens eye control of multiple councils; outcomes hinge on turnout in progressive wards and final candidate fielding, with ward-level projections showing net gains of 350–450 seats from current levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/05/07
500+
73%
600+
49%
700+
32%
$874 Vol.
500+
$27 Vol.
73%
600+
$0 Vol.
49%
700+
$847 Vol.
32%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.The Green Party's surging poll ratings, tying or exceeding Labour at around 16% in early April YouGov surveys, alongside historic by-election victories like Gorton and Denton in late February, have fueled projections of substantial seat gains in the May 7 local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats. Leader Zack Polanski's housing-focused campaign launch on April 9 targets Labour strongholds in urban areas such as Hackney, Lambeth, and Leeds, capitalizing on councillor defections and voter disillusionment amid national fragmentation. Reform UK's parallel rise adds competition, but Greens eye control of multiple councils; outcomes hinge on turnout in progressive wards and final candidate fielding, with ward-level projections showing net gains of 350–450 seats from current levels.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
音量
$874終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.The Green Party's surging poll ratings, tying or exceeding Labour at around 16% in early April YouGov surveys, alongside historic by-election victories like Gorton and Denton in late February, have fueled projections of substantial seat gains in the May 7 local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats. Leader Zack Polanski's housing-focused campaign launch on April 9 targets Labour strongholds in urban areas such as Hackney, Lambeth, and Leeds, capitalizing on councillor defections and voter disillusionment amid national fragmentation. Reform UK's parallel rise adds competition, but Greens eye control of multiple councils; outcomes hinge on turnout in progressive wards and final candidate fielding, with ward-level projections showing net gains of 350–450 seats from current levels.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
音量
$874終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Green Party's surging poll ratings, tying or exceeding Labour at around 16% in early April YouGov surveys, alongside historic by-election victories like Gorton and Denton in late February, have fueled projections of substantial seat gains in the May 7 local elections across 136 English councils contesting over 5,000 seats. Leader Zack Polanski's housing-focused campaign launch on April 9 targets Labour strongholds in urban areas such as Hackney, Lambeth, and Leeds, capitalizing on councillor defections and voter disillusionment amid national fragmentation. Reform UK's parallel rise adds competition, but Greens eye control of multiple councils; outcomes hinge on turnout in progressive wards and final candidate fielding, with ward-level projections showing net gains of 350–450 seats from current levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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