Caroline Elliott leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability in the BC Conservative Party leadership race, reflecting her slight first-preference edge over Peter Milobar (28%) in March Mainstreet polling of party members, reinforced by endorsements from former campaign manager David Denhoff and MLA Harman Bhangu, plus strong fundraising clearance last week. Milobar garners MLA backing and legislative experience as Kamloops-Centre representative. Iain Black trails at 19.5% amid frontrunners' absence from an unsanctioned April 8 debate, which drew criticism. Yuri Fulmer sees momentum from a recent "Unite the Right" rally with OneBC support. Preferential ballot—allocating 100 points per riding proportionally—makes second preferences pivotal, with membership cutoff today ahead of May 9 voting and May 30 result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日キャロライン・エリオット 41%
ピーター・ミロバー 28%
イアン・ブラック 19.4%
ユーリ・フルマー 6.0%
$29,655 Vol.
$29,655 Vol.

キャロライン・エリオット
41%

ピーター・ミロバー
28%

イアン・ブラック
19%

ユーリ・フルマー
6%

ケリー=リン・フィンドリー
6%

ハーマン・バング
1%

ブルース・バンマン
<1%

ウォーレン・ハム
<1%

ダレル・ジョーンズ
<1%
キャロライン・エリオット 41%
ピーター・ミロバー 28%
イアン・ブラック 19.4%
ユーリ・フルマー 6.0%
$29,655 Vol.
$29,655 Vol.

キャロライン・エリオット
41%

ピーター・ミロバー
28%

イアン・ブラック
19%

ユーリ・フルマー
6%

ケリー=リン・フィンドリー
6%

ハーマン・バング
1%

ブルース・バンマン
<1%

ウォーレン・ハム
<1%

ダレル・ジョーンズ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
マーケット開始日: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Caroline Elliott leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability in the BC Conservative Party leadership race, reflecting her slight first-preference edge over Peter Milobar (28%) in March Mainstreet polling of party members, reinforced by endorsements from former campaign manager David Denhoff and MLA Harman Bhangu, plus strong fundraising clearance last week. Milobar garners MLA backing and legislative experience as Kamloops-Centre representative. Iain Black trails at 19.5% amid frontrunners' absence from an unsanctioned April 8 debate, which drew criticism. Yuri Fulmer sees momentum from a recent "Unite the Right" rally with OneBC support. Preferential ballot—allocating 100 points per riding proportionally—makes second preferences pivotal, with membership cutoff today ahead of May 9 voting and May 30 result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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