Incumbent Democratic Governor Jared Polis is term-limited, creating an open seat in reliably blue Colorado, where Democrats hold all statewide offices and supermajorities in the legislature, driving trader consensus to 93% for a Democratic victory amid early polling averages showing a +12 Democrat lead. Recent momentum includes Attorney General Phil Weiser's landslide win at the state assembly last week, earning the top spot on the June 30 primary ballot, while U.S. Senator Michael Bennet and Weiser both report massive fundraising hauls. The Republican primary remains fractured with over a dozen contenders, recent withdrawals like Joe Oltmann's exit for party chair, and Greg Lopez switching independent, diluting opposition. A consolidated GOP nominee, Democratic scandal, or national Republican wave could challenge this outlook ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
民主党
93%

共和党
6%

民主党
93%

共和党
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Jared Polis is term-limited, creating an open seat in reliably blue Colorado, where Democrats hold all statewide offices and supermajorities in the legislature, driving trader consensus to 93% for a Democratic victory amid early polling averages showing a +12 Democrat lead. Recent momentum includes Attorney General Phil Weiser's landslide win at the state assembly last week, earning the top spot on the June 30 primary ballot, while U.S. Senator Michael Bennet and Weiser both report massive fundraising hauls. The Republican primary remains fractured with over a dozen contenders, recent withdrawals like Joe Oltmann's exit for party chair, and Greg Lopez switching independent, diluting opposition. A consolidated GOP nominee, Democratic scandal, or national Republican wave could challenge this outlook ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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