**Cilia Flores remains detained in a Brooklyn federal facility alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture by U.S. commandos in Caracas on drug-trafficking indictments unsealed by Southern District of New York prosecutors.** She pleaded not guilty at her initial hearing and appeared in court again on March 26 amid ongoing pre-trial proceedings, with no bail granted. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting highlights her alleged role in narco-corruption networks, bolstering the case against her. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. judicial detention against slim chances of diplomatic repatriation or early release via plea deals, given historical patterns in high-profile extradition cases; next hearings could signal shifts, but resolution timelines remain uncertain pending trial scheduling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,166,149 Vol.
2026/01/31
12月31日
5%
$1,166,149 Vol.
12月31日
$119,548 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cilia Flores remains detained in a Brooklyn federal facility alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture by U.S. commandos in Caracas on drug-trafficking indictments unsealed by Southern District of New York prosecutors.** She pleaded not guilty at her initial hearing and appeared in court again on March 26 amid ongoing pre-trial proceedings, with no bail granted. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting highlights her alleged role in narco-corruption networks, bolstering the case against her. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. judicial detention against slim chances of diplomatic repatriation or early release via plea deals, given historical patterns in high-profile extradition cases; next hearings could signal shifts, but resolution timelines remain uncertain pending trial scheduling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
音量
$1,166,149終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cilia Flores remains detained in a Brooklyn federal facility alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture by U.S. commandos in Caracas on drug-trafficking indictments unsealed by Southern District of New York prosecutors.** She pleaded not guilty at her initial hearing and appeared in court again on March 26 amid ongoing pre-trial proceedings, with no bail granted. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting highlights her alleged role in narco-corruption networks, bolstering the case against her. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. judicial detention against slim chances of diplomatic repatriation or early release via plea deals, given historical patterns in high-profile extradition cases; next hearings could signal shifts, but resolution timelines remain uncertain pending trial scheduling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,166,149終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Cilia Flores remains detained in a Brooklyn federal facility alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture by U.S. commandos in Caracas on drug-trafficking indictments unsealed by Southern District of New York prosecutors.** She pleaded not guilty at her initial hearing and appeared in court again on March 26 amid ongoing pre-trial proceedings, with no bail granted. Recent Wall Street Journal reporting highlights her alleged role in narco-corruption networks, bolstering the case against her. Traders weigh prolonged U.S. judicial detention against slim chances of diplomatic repatriation or early release via plea deals, given historical patterns in high-profile extradition cases; next hearings could signal shifts, but resolution timelines remain uncertain pending trial scheduling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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