Traders heavily favor Shin Yong-han at 78.5% implied probability to win the Chungcheongbuk Province governor election, reflecting his dominant position as the People Power Party nominee amid recent polling leads of over 20 points in province-wide surveys. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but his edge stems from strong regional incumbency advantages—current governor Kim Young-hwan's low 3.6% odds suggest limited re-election viability—and consistent support in rural strongholds key to provincial outcomes. Noh Yeong-min trails at 15% as the Democratic Party challenger, buoyed by urban turnout potential, while fragmented minor candidates dilute opposition. The race awaits the June 2026 local elections, with upcoming party conventions and candidate debates as potential catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日シン・ヨンハン 79%
ノ・ヨンミン 15%
キム・ヨンファン 3.7%
ソン・ギソプ 3.6%
$15,944 Vol.
$15,944 Vol.
シン・ヨンハン
79%
ノ・ヨンミン
15%
キム・ヨンファン
4%
ソン・ギソプ
4%
チョ・ギルヒョン
3%
ユン・ヒグン
2%
ド・ジョンファン
2%
イ・ジョンベ
1%
シン・ヨンハン 79%
ノ・ヨンミン 15%
キム・ヨンファン 3.7%
ソン・ギソプ 3.6%
$15,944 Vol.
$15,944 Vol.
シン・ヨンハン
79%
ノ・ヨンミン
15%
キム・ヨンファン
4%
ソン・ギソプ
4%
チョ・ギルヒョン
3%
ユン・ヒグン
2%
ド・ジョンファン
2%
イ・ジョンベ
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor Shin Yong-han at 78.5% implied probability to win the Chungcheongbuk Province governor election, reflecting his dominant position as the People Power Party nominee amid recent polling leads of over 20 points in province-wide surveys. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but his edge stems from strong regional incumbency advantages—current governor Kim Young-hwan's low 3.6% odds suggest limited re-election viability—and consistent support in rural strongholds key to provincial outcomes. Noh Yeong-min trails at 15% as the Democratic Party challenger, buoyed by urban turnout potential, while fragmented minor candidates dilute opposition. The race awaits the June 2026 local elections, with upcoming party conventions and candidate debates as potential catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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