Provisional results from Central African Republic's 14 July 2024 National Assembly election show the ruling MCU party securing a commanding lead with dozens of seats, driving trader consensus to 87.5% odds for it as the winner with the most seats. A boycott by seven opposition parties, including MLPC, amid disputes over electoral irregularities and security concerns, contributed to low voter turnout of just 18.6%, handing the incumbent an unchallenged path to parliamentary majority. Minor probabilities for UNDP, KNK, and others reflect residual support or potential second-round upsets in contested constituencies. Final certification by the National Elections Authority remains pending, but no developments suggest a reversal of MCU dominance in this fragile post-conflict context.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日統一ハーツ運動（MCU） 87.6%
KNK 4.4%
MLPC 3.8%
UNDP 1.0%
$56,142 Vol.
$56,142 Vol.
Dec 28, 2025
統一ハーツ運動（MCU）
88%
KNK
4%
MLPC
4%
UNDP
9%
MOUNI
1%
RDC
1%
URCA
1%
統一ハーツ運動（MCU） 87.6%
KNK 4.4%
MLPC 3.8%
UNDP 1.0%
$56,142 Vol.
$56,142 Vol.
Dec 28, 2025
統一ハーツ運動（MCU）
$30,464 Vol.
88%
KNK
$7,073 Vol.
4%
MLPC
$0 Vol.
4%
UNDP
$12,289 Vol.
9%
MOUNI
$6,316 Vol.
1%
RDC
$0 Vol.
1%
URCA
$0 Vol.
1%
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).Provisional results from Central African Republic's 14 July 2024 National Assembly election show the ruling MCU party securing a commanding lead with dozens of seats, driving trader consensus to 87.5% odds for it as the winner with the most seats. A boycott by seven opposition parties, including MLPC, amid disputes over electoral irregularities and security concerns, contributed to low voter turnout of just 18.6%, handing the incumbent an unchallenged path to parliamentary majority. Minor probabilities for UNDP, KNK, and others reflect residual support or potential second-round upsets in contested constituencies. Final certification by the National Elections Authority remains pending, but no developments suggest a reversal of MCU dominance in this fragile post-conflict context.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
音量
$56,142終了日
Dec 28, 2025マーケット開始日
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).Provisional results from Central African Republic's 14 July 2024 National Assembly election show the ruling MCU party securing a commanding lead with dozens of seats, driving trader consensus to 87.5% odds for it as the winner with the most seats. A boycott by seven opposition parties, including MLPC, amid disputes over electoral irregularities and security concerns, contributed to low voter turnout of just 18.6%, handing the incumbent an unchallenged path to parliamentary majority. Minor probabilities for UNDP, KNK, and others reflect residual support or potential second-round upsets in contested constituencies. Final certification by the National Elections Authority remains pending, but no developments suggest a reversal of MCU dominance in this fragile post-conflict context.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
音量
$56,142終了日
Dec 28, 2025マーケット開始日
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Provisional results from Central African Republic's 14 July 2024 National Assembly election show the ruling MCU party securing a commanding lead with dozens of seats, driving trader consensus to 87.5% odds for it as the winner with the most seats. A boycott by seven opposition parties, including MLPC, amid disputes over electoral irregularities and security concerns, contributed to low voter turnout of just 18.6%, handing the incumbent an unchallenged path to parliamentary majority. Minor probabilities for UNDP, KNK, and others reflect residual support or potential second-round upsets in contested constituencies. Final certification by the National Elections Authority remains pending, but no developments suggest a reversal of MCU dominance in this fragile post-conflict context.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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