Trader consensus heavily favors no repeal of the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions from the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act by March 31, reflecting the lack of legislative progress on H.R. 6985, the bipartisan FULL HOUSE Act introduced January 8 and stalled in the House Ways and Means Committee with no hearings, markup, or floor action since. No recent catalysts—such as committee advancements or attachment to must-pass bills like appropriations or continuing resolutions—have emerged in the past 30 days to accelerate repeal amid Congress's packed tax-writing calendar. While an eleventh-hour executive action or rider on urgent legislation remains theoretically possible, procedural hurdles and time constraints make it highly improbable, anchoring the near-certain No pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$205,065 Vol.
$205,065 Vol.
はい
$205,065 Vol.
$205,065 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no repeal of the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions from the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act by March 31, reflecting the lack of legislative progress on H.R. 6985, the bipartisan FULL HOUSE Act introduced January 8 and stalled in the House Ways and Means Committee with no hearings, markup, or floor action since. No recent catalysts—such as committee advancements or attachment to must-pass bills like appropriations or continuing resolutions—have emerged in the past 30 days to accelerate repeal amid Congress's packed tax-writing calendar. While an eleventh-hour executive action or rider on urgent legislation remains theoretically possible, procedural hurdles and time constraints make it highly improbable, anchoring the near-certain No pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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