California's 42nd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Robert Garcia enters the June 2026 top-two primary with substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages, facing a fragmented Republican field that includes Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham. This setup channels most opposition support into the Democratic column for the November general election, sustaining the current trader consensus. A unified Republican nominee who significantly outpaces expectations in fundraising or turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district limit realistic shifts absent major external developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,747 Vol.
94%
共和党
$1,058 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 42nd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Robert Garcia enters the June 2026 top-two primary with substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages, facing a fragmented Republican field that includes Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham. This setup channels most opposition support into the Democratic column for the November general election, sustaining the current trader consensus. A unified Republican nominee who significantly outpaces expectations in fundraising or turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district limit realistic shifts absent major external developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$8,805終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 42nd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Robert Garcia enters the June 2026 top-two primary with substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages, facing a fragmented Republican field that includes Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham. This setup channels most opposition support into the Democratic column for the November general election, sustaining the current trader consensus. A unified Republican nominee who significantly outpaces expectations in fundraising or turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district limit realistic shifts absent major external developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,805終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 42nd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Robert Garcia enters the June 2026 top-two primary with substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages, facing a fragmented Republican field that includes Noah Blom, Brian Burley, and Long Pham. This setup channels most opposition support into the Democratic column for the November general election, sustaining the current trader consensus. A unified Republican nominee who significantly outpaces expectations in fundraising or turnout could narrow the gap, though structural barriers in the district limit realistic shifts absent major external developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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