Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by his insurmountable lead in the latest NextGen polling (April 13-16) at 52% among likely voters—outpacing Rep. David Schweikert's 10% and capturing 45% even in Schweikert's district despite 35% undecideds. Karrin Taylor Robson's February dropout consolidated conservative support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader, bolstered by his fundraising dominance and +40% net approval. Schweikert trails at 4.2% amid questions on electability, while Taylor Robson lingers at 0.9%. Late shifts could arise from undecided voter realignment, a Biggs scandal, or Schweikert endorsements, though Biggs' momentum and incumbency advantages make upsets unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アンディ・ビッグス 92%
デビッド・シュウェイカート 4.2%
カリン・テイラー・ロブソン <1%
$64,145 Vol.
$64,145 Vol.
アンディ・ビッグス
92%
デビッド・シュウェイカート
4%
カリン・テイラー・ロブソン
1%
アンディ・ビッグス 92%
デビッド・シュウェイカート 4.2%
カリン・テイラー・ロブソン <1%
$64,145 Vol.
$64,145 Vol.
アンディ・ビッグス
92%
デビッド・シュウェイカート
4%
カリン・テイラー・ロブソン
1%
If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by his insurmountable lead in the latest NextGen polling (April 13-16) at 52% among likely voters—outpacing Rep. David Schweikert's 10% and capturing 45% even in Schweikert's district despite 35% undecideds. Karrin Taylor Robson's February dropout consolidated conservative support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader, bolstered by his fundraising dominance and +40% net approval. Schweikert trails at 4.2% amid questions on electability, while Taylor Robson lingers at 0.9%. Late shifts could arise from undecided voter realignment, a Biggs scandal, or Schweikert endorsements, though Biggs' momentum and incumbency advantages make upsets unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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