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アリゾナ州知事共和党予備選

Market icon

アリゾナ州知事共和党予備選

アンディ・ビッグス 92%

デビッド・シュウェイカート 4.2%

カリン・テイラー・ロブソン <1%

Polymarket

$64,145 Vol.

アンディ・ビッグス 92%

デビッド・シュウェイカート 4.2%

カリン・テイラー・ロブソン <1%

Polymarket

$64,145 Vol.

アンディ・ビッグス

$6,096 Vol.

92%

デビッド・シュウェイカート

$6,148 Vol.

4%

カリン・テイラー・ロブソン

$51,901 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by his insurmountable lead in the latest NextGen polling (April 13-16) at 52% among likely voters—outpacing Rep. David Schweikert's 10% and capturing 45% even in Schweikert's district despite 35% undecideds. Karrin Taylor Robson's February dropout consolidated conservative support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader, bolstered by his fundraising dominance and +40% net approval. Schweikert trails at 4.2% amid questions on electability, while Taylor Robson lingers at 0.9%. Late shifts could arise from undecided voter realignment, a Biggs scandal, or Schweikert endorsements, though Biggs' momentum and incumbency advantages make upsets unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$64,145
終了日
2026/07/21
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary on July 21, driven by his insurmountable lead in the latest NextGen polling (April 13-16) at 52% among likely voters—outpacing Rep. David Schweikert's 10% and capturing 45% even in Schweikert's district despite 35% undecideds. Karrin Taylor Robson's February dropout consolidated conservative support behind the Trump-endorsed Freedom Caucus leader, bolstered by his fundraising dominance and +40% net approval. Schweikert trails at 4.2% amid questions on electability, while Taylor Robson lingers at 0.9%. Late shifts could arise from undecided voter realignment, a Biggs scandal, or Schweikert endorsements, though Biggs' momentum and incumbency advantages make upsets unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$64,145
終了日
2026/07/21
マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「アリゾナ州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アンディ・ビッグス」で92%、次いで「デビッド・シュウェイカート」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アリゾナ州知事共和党予備選」は$64.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アリゾナ州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アリゾナ州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「アンディ・ビッグス」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「デビッド・シュウェイカート」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アリゾナ州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。